Match Info

K League 2 - Round 20

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yishunsin Stadium (Asan)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Chungnam Asan		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.10	2.60	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.55
	2.55	3.05	2.55
	2.56	3.35	2.98
	2.63	3.21	2.68	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.95
	2.41	3.04	2.73	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.54)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.71 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chungnam Asan
36.8%

Draw
29.3%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.9%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

27.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chungnam Asan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chungnam Asan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Shin Song-Hoon (G) 14. Park Seong-Woo 33. Kim Hye-seong 3. Lee Ho-In 66. Jeong Woo-Jae 13. Kim Young-Nam (C) 10. Son Jun-Ho 17. Kim Ju-Sung 11. Denisson Silva 9. Kim Jong-Min 70. Ju-Young P.	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 23. You Ju-An 20. Lee Sang-Min 4. Venicio 5. Yu Sun 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 16. Ryu Jun-sun 33. Park Su-bin (C) 19. Yang Tae-yang 18. Kim Min-jae 32. Yun Min-Ho
Substitutes
20. Choi Bo-Kyung 8. Choi Chi-Won 6. Choi Hee-Won 7. Han Kyo-Won 21. Kim Jin-Young (G) 97. Lokolingoy C. 24. Park Se-Jik 39. Vitinho Lopes 71. Yun Je-hee	52. Fujimori R. 13. Hong S. 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 66. Kim Y. 36. Lee Jae-Wook 11. Lee Jun-Sang 17. Park Byeong-gyu 9. Rodrigo Angelotti
Coaches
Gaspar A.	Jeon Kyung-jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Ju-Young P. ↓, Han Kyo-Won ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Jeong Woo-Jae ↓, Vitinho Lopes ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Denisson Silva ⚽, Han Kyo-Won (A),
52', Yun Min-Ho 🟨,
53', Kim Min-jae ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
53', Lee Jeong-Bin ↓, Lee Jun-Sang ↑,
58', Kim Jong-Min ↓, Lokolingoy C. ↑,
58', Kim Young-Nam ↓, Park Se-Jik ↑,
71', Yang Tae-yang ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
71', You Ju-An ↓, Fujimori R. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Denisson Silva ⚽, Vitinho Lopes (A),
85', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Yun Je-hee ↑,
89', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Hong S. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Seongnam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chungnam Asan won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chungnam Asan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Asan	25	9	7	9	34:31	3	34
10	Seongnam	25	7	10	8	28:30	-2	31

Last Results with these Odds

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.82%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chungnam Asan
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Chungnam Asan - Siheung	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Hwaseong - Chungnam Asan	3:2 ✺
18.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Chungnam Asan	3:4 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.07.26	Chungnam Asan - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon	2:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
21.03.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	2:1
20.09.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	3:0
21.06.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	0:2
30.03.25	Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1
20.10.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	2:3
25.06.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Chungnam Asan	0:4
06.04.24	Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1

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