Match Info

K League 1 - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Bucheon Stadium (Bucheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Bucheon		Jeju

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.20	2.45
	2.65	3.1	2.45
	2.93	3.3	2.63
	2.75	3.25	2.55	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.5
	2.8	3.2	2.49	Watch
	2.7	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.95)	3.21 ↑ (3.05)	2.5 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bucheon
33.7%

Draw
29.1%

Jeju
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.2%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

30.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bucheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bucheon than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Bucheon - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Jeju will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jeju: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jeju (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim H. (G) 3. Patrick William 29. Baek Dong-Gyu 20. Hong Sung-Wook 26. An Tae-Hyun 8. Yoon Bit-Garam 4. Ye-Geon S. 71. Kim Seung-Bin 10. Rodrigo Bassani (C) 99. Gustavo Nescau 11. Galego	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 47. Park Min-jae 2. Figueiredo T. 3. Celestine J. 17. Yu In-Soo 33. Park Su-bin 5. Italo (C) 20. Jang M. 11. Shin Sang-Eun 22. Cinari E. 9. Matheus Aias
Substitutes
6. Jeong Ho-Jin 83. Jo Seong-Jun 2. Kim Jong-Min 14. Kim Jong-Woo 13. Kim Min-Jun 16. Kim Sang-Jun 18. Lee Eui-Hyeong 31. Lee Sang-hyeon (G) 7. Thiaguinho Santos	24. Choi Byung-wook 81. Heo J. (G) 4. Heo Kang-Jun 13. Jeong Woon 88. Jo In-jung 55. Kang Dong-hwi 39. Kim Jae-min 41. Kim Jae-Woo 18. Kim Shin-Jin
Coaches
Lee Young-Min	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Figueiredo T. (Own goal),
19', Baek Dong-Gyu 🟨,
33', Yoon Bit-Garam 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Italo ⚽, Matheus Aias (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Matheus Aias ⚽, Italo (A),
45+7', Matheus Aias 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', An Tae-Hyun 🟨,
52', Ye-Geon S. ↓, Kim Jong-Woo ↑,
61', Cinari E. ↓, Choi Byung-wook ↑,
62', Gustavo Nescau ↓, Thiaguinho Santos ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Galego ⚽, Thiaguinho Santos (A),
72', Shin Sang-Eun ↓, Kim Jae-min ↑,
78', Lee Young-Min 🟨,
89', Park Su-bin ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
90', Yoon Bit-Garam ↓, Kim Sang-Jun ↑,
90', An Tae-Hyun ↓, Jo Seong-Jun ↑,
90', Kim Seung-Bin ↓, Kim Min-Jun ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 1.

Bucheon has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jeju's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jeju has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bucheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucheon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Jeju SK	30	12	10	8	35:29	6	46
11	Bucheon FC 1995	30	7	11	12	31:40	-9	32

Last Results with these Odds

Bucheon - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bucheon FC 1995
South Korean K-League 1
08.09.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
29.08.26	Bucheon - Anyang	1:1 ✺
25.08.26	FC Seoul - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Bucheon - Pohang Steelers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
09.09.26	Gwangju - Jeju	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jeju - Ulsan HD	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Jeju - Pohang Steelers	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1
04.04.26	Jeju - Bucheon	1:0
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Bucheon - Jeju	1:0
South Korean K-League 2
19.09.20	Bucheon - Jeju	0:2
26.08.20	Jeju - Bucheon	4:0
26.05.20	Bucheon - Jeju	0:1

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