Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Pocheon

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.75	Watch
	1.80	3.30	3.70
	1.9	3.35	3.75
	1.91	3.4	4.11
	1.89	3.51	3.92	Watch
	1.86	3.35	3.9	Watch
	1.82	3.32	4.02	Watch
	1.92	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.76)	3.38 ↓ (3.59)	3.87 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
49.2%

Draw
27.1%

Pocheon
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

25.6%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.8%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pocheon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pocheon than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Pocheon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pocheon will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 1, Rodrigo Angelotti ⚽,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
116', 2 - 1, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Seongnam is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pocheon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Seongnam has had a series of away games.

In this match, Seongnam is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Seongnam won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
11.07.26	Daegu - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2 ✺
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
05.06.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Seoul E-Land - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTTL
- FC Pocheon
South Korean K3 League
11.07.26	Dangjin Citizen - Pocheon	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
04.07.26	Pocheon - Daejeon Korail	2:0 ✺
South Korean K3 League
28.06.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Pocheon	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	Pocheon - Gangneung	3:1 ✺
06.06.26	Pocheon - Busan Kyotong	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Pocheon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:3

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