Match Info

K League 2 - Round 30

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
South Korea	14:00	Coupang Play
International	05:00	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.60	1.62	Watch
	4.50	3.70	1.61
	4.60	3.50	1.63
	5.37	3.96	1.66
	4.81	4.06	1.64	Watch
	5.30	3.80	1.64
	4.71	3.77	1.69	Watch
	4.80	3.80	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (4.63)	3.77 ↓ (4.04)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
19.2%

Draw
24.5%

Suwon Bluewings
56.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.2%

23.1%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.7%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	40%	60%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 20. Lee Sang-Min (C) 4. Venicio 5. Yu Sun 23. You Ju-An 14. Elionay 16. Ryu Jun-sun 22. Jung Seung-Yong 11. Lee Jun-Sang 90. Jeon M. 35. Kim Ji-hyuk	30. Kim J. (G) 27. Lee Geon-hee 3. Mo Kyung-bin 5. Ko Jong-hyun 92. Lee Sang-min 22. Kang Seong-Jin 16. Park Hyun-Bin 14. Jung Ho-yeon 8. Lebon K. 17. Kang Hyun-Muk (C) 70. Mina L.
Substitutes
2. Hwang Seok-Ki 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 33. Kim Chan-il 18. Kim Min-jae 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 8. Lee Jeong-Bin 34. Lee S. 17. Park Byeong-gyu 19. Yang Tae-yang	58. Bruno Costa 98. Dubickas E. 66. Han Hyeon-Seo 20. Hong Jeong-Ho 37. Kim Joo-Chan 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 23. Kim Min-Woo 19. Kim Seong-Ju 11. Lee Jun-Jae
Coaches
Kim Hae-Woon	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Kang Hyun-Muk ⚽, Lebon K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim Ji-hyuk ↓, Hwang Seok-Ki ↑,
46', Jung Seung-Yong ↓, Park Byeong-gyu ↑,
46', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Lee Jeong-Bin ↑,
48', Jeon M. 🟨,
56', Mina L. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
68', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Kwon Byeong-jun ↑,
70', Park Hyun-Bin ↓, Kim Min-Woo ↑,
70', Lebon K. ↓, Kim Joo-Chan ↑,
72', Kang Hyun-Muk ↓, Dubickas E. ↑,
76', Kang Seong-Jin ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
77', Jeon M. ↓, Kim Min-jae ↑,
81', 🟨,
87', 0 - 2, Lee Sang-Min (Own goal),
89', Lee Geon-hee ↓, Lee Jun-Jae ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th and 1st in the Promotion - K League 1).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Seongnam (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Suwon Bluewings is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Seongnam could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Suwon Bluewings is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Seongnam has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:29 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seongnam against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with 7:12 goals (averaging 0.8:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	28	19	5	4	48:23	25	62
11	Seongnam	28	7	10	11	30:37	-7	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
17.10.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Cheongju - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Hwaseong	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Gyeongnam - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Gimpo - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTLW
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
18.10.26	Suwon Bluewings - Hwaseong	3:2 ✺
11.10.26	Suwon Bluewings - Ansan Greeners	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Seoul E-Land - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Suwon Bluewings - Chungnam Asan	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Gimpo - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
04.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0
30.08.25	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:2
06.06.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	1:2
27.04.25	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2
22.09.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	1:2
22.06.24	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0
05.05.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	2:1

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