Match Info

K League 2 - Round 15

Date: 6 June 2025, Friday

Location: Tancheon Stadium (Seongnam)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play, Maxports, Sky Sports Korea
World	K League TV


	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma		Suwon Bluewings

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.75	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.75
	4.05	3.6	1.75
	4.09	3.98	1.84
	4.31	3.69	1.78	Watch
	3.7	3.5	1.85
	4.17	3.64	1.76	Watch
	4.05	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.29)	3.66 ↓ (3.67)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
22.9%

Draw
25.2%

Suwon Bluewings
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

25.3%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

24.8%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Suwon Bluewings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Suwon Bluewings will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon Bluewings: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Seongnam (votes: 2 - 50%). Suwon Bluewings (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Seongnam (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Seongnam (votes: 3 - 60%). Suwon Bluewings (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 7. Shin Jae-Won 4. Venicio 66. Kim Joo-Won (C) 22. Jung Seung-Yong 77. Park Ji-Won 68. Lee Jae-Wook 33. Park Su-bin 27. Lee Jun-Sang 9. Ruiz L. 6. Hong Chang-Beom	21. Yang Hyung-Mo (C) 19. Lee Geon-hee 12. Kwon Wan-Kyu 4. Leo Andrade 23. Lee Ki-Je 6. Choi Young-Jun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 70. Matheus Serafim 9. Ilyuchenko S. 11. Paulo Henrique
Substitutes
28. Jeong Myeong-Jae (G) 17. Jung Won-Jin 3. Kang Eui-Bin 18. Kim Beom-Su 19. Kim Hun-Min 30. Park Byeong-gyu 16. Ryu Jun-sun	74. Bruno Costa 90. Hwang Seok-Ho 2. Jang Seok-Hwan 10. Kang Hyun-Muk 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 17. Lee Min-Hyuk 47. Park Seung-soo
Coaches
Jeon Kyeong-Jun	Byun Sung-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Paulo Henrique ⚽,
37', Lee Geon-hee 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Ruiz L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lee Jun-Sang ↓, Kim Beom-Su ↑,
60', Choi Young-Jun ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
60', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Bruno Costa ↑,
62', Lee Jae-Wook ↓, Ryu Jun-sun ↑,
67', Hong Chang-Beom ↓, Jung Won-Jin ↑,
69', Matheus Serafim ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,
83', Kim Ji-Hyun ↓, Kang Hyun-Muk ↑,
83', Kwon Wan-Kyu ↓, Hwang Seok-Ho ↑,
90+1', Lee Min-Hyuk 🟨,
90+4', Ryu Jun-sun ↓, Kang Eui-Bin ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Lee Ki-Je ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 1.

Recent form of Seongnam has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Suwon Bluewings is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Suwon Bluewings is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seongnam won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Seongnam won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
31.05.25	Ansan Greeners - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	0:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cheonan City - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Jeonnam Dragons - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
04.05.25	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Seoul E-Land	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLL
- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean K-League 2
01.06.25	Suwon Bluewings - Bucheon	4:1 ✺
25.05.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gimpo	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Busan I Park - Suwon Bluewings	1:4 ✺
11.05.25	Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Cheongju - Suwon Bluewings	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
27.04.25	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:2
22.09.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	1:2
22.06.24	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	3:0
05.05.24	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	2:1
South Korean K-League 1
03.10.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Suwon Bluewings	0:2
14.08.22	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	4:1
14.05.22	Suwon Bluewings - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	1:0

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