Match Info

K League 2 - Round 8

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Suwon World Cup Stadium (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Suwon Bluewings		Hwaseong

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.1	5.75	Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.75
	1.49	4.2	6
	1.49	4.55	6.45
	1.48	4.3	6.3	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.44	4.25	6.55	Watch
	1.49	4.2	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)	4.16 ↑ (3.96)	6.04 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon Bluewings
62.5%

Draw
22.2%

Hwaseong
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23.4%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

22.4%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon Bluewings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Hwaseong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon Bluewings than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hwaseong than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Suwon Bluewings - Hwaseong Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Hyung-Mo (C) 19. Lee Geon-hee 12. Kwon Wan-Kyu 3. Ko Jong-hyun 23. Lee Ki-Je 6. Choi Young-Jun 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 70. Matheus Serafim 11. Paulo Henrique 74. Bruno Costa 9. Ilyuchenko S.	1. Kim S. (G) 2. Kim D. 20. Park Jun-seo 44. Ham Sun-Woo 3. Cho Dong-Jae 16. Choi Myung-Hee (C) 15. Vojnovic A. 25. Kim S. 7. Arthur 31. Dominic Vinicius 9. Park Ju-yeong
Substitutes
32. Jeong Dong-yun 20. Jo Yun-Seong 7. Kim Hyun 77. Kim Ji-Hyun 1. Kim Min-Jun (G) 47. Park Seung-soo 15. Park Woo-jin	27. Baek Seung-Woo 53. Dimitri 8. Jeon S. 18. Kim Ki-hun (G) 5. Woo J. 11. Yeo Hong-Gyu 4. Yeon Jei-Min
Coaches
Byun Sung-Hwan	Cha Du-Ri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Ilyuchenko S. ⚽, Lee Geon-hee (A),
36', 2 - 0, Bruno Costa ⚽, Lee Ki-Je (A),
45+2', 3 - 0, Matheus Serafim ⚽, Bruno Costa (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kim S. ↓, Jeon S. ↑,
46', Cho Dong-Jae ↓, Yeon Jei-Min ↑,
52', Dominic Vinicius ↓, Baek Seung-Woo ↑,
56', Kim D. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Park Jun-seo ⚽, Kim D. (A),
62', Ko Jong-hyun ↓, Jo Yun-Seong ↑,
71', Yeon Jei-Min ↓, Woo J. ↑,
75', Ilyuchenko S. ↓, Kim Hyun ↑,
75', Matheus Serafim ↓, Kim Ji-Hyun ↑,
78', Park Ju-yeong ↓, Dimitri ↑,
82', Bruno Costa ↓, Park Seung-soo ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 11).

Suwon Bluewings is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hwaseong is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Suwon Bluewings is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Suwon Bluewings won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Suwon Bluewings won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon Bluewings
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon Bluewings	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.04.25	Bucheon - Suwon Bluewings	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Suwon Bluewings - Gyeongnam	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Suwon Bluewings - Jeonnam Dragons	2:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.03.25	Suwon Bluewings - Seoul E-Land	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWWW
- Hwaseong FC
South Korean Cup
16.04.25	Siheung - Hwaseong	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
12.04.25	Hwaseong - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Hwaseong - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Ansan Greeners - Hwaseong	3:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
23.03.25	Hwaseong - Jinju Citizen	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
02.10.19	Suwon Bluewings - Hwaseong	3:0 ET
18.09.19	Hwaseong - Suwon Bluewings	1:0

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