Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 2

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday

Location: Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium (Isfahan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Canal 11
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Sepahan		Al-Ittihad Jeddah

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.3	2.1	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05
	3.87	3.54	2.16
	3.5	3.4	1.91
	3.65	3.44	2.01	Watch
	3.55	3.3	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (4.49)	3.4 ↓ (3.71)	2.04 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepahan
26.3%

Draw
27.7%

Al-Ittihad Jeddah
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

24.8%

54.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

24.4%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepahan's performance.

Al-Ittihad Jeddah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Ittihad Jeddah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sepahan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Ittihad Jeddah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Sepahan - Al Ittihad Jeddah Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sepahan will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Niazmand P. (G) 9. Rezaeian R. 58. Daneshgar M. 99. Yazdani S. 18. Zakipour M. 10. Ahmadzadeh F. 8. Karimi M. (C) 66. Ghorbani M. 86. Hosseinnejad M. 5. Asadi R. 70. Moghanlou S.	1. Al Muaiouf A. (G) 4. Hawsawi Om. 15. Kadesh H. 28. Bamsaud A. 33. Al Olayan M. 8. Fabinho (C) 10. Coronado I. 7. Kante N. 13. Al Shanqiti M. 99. Hamdallah A. 90. Romarinho
Substitutes
77. Ahmadi A. 7. Alkasir I. 44. Mirzazad N. (G) 91. Nilson Junior 11. Rezaei K. 22. Salehi M. S. (G) 80. Sarshogh A. 81. Shekari R. 14. Yousefi A.	77. Al Amri S. 6. Al Farhan S. 25. Al Menhali S. 88. Al Mermesh O. (G) 17. Al Sahafi M. 29. Al Shamrani F. 70. Camara H. 52. Haji T.
Coaches
Morais J.	Espirito Santo N.

Preview

Sepahan is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Al-Ittihad is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sepahan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sepahan have a series of guest games.

In this match Al-Ittihad is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sepahan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepahan FC
AFC Champions League
18.09.23	Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya - Sepahan	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.23	Zenit - Sepahan	4:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
29.08.23	Paykan - Sepahan	1:3 ✺
23.08.23	Sepahan - Esteghlal	1:0 ✺
16.08.23	Zob Ahan - Sepahan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLWWW
- Al-Ittihad Jeddah
Saudi Professional League
29.09.23	Al-Feiha - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:0 ✺
Saudi King Cup
26.09.23	Al-Kholood - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:2 penalties ✺
Saudi Professional League
21.09.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al Fateh	2:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.09.23	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - AGMK	3:0 ✺
Saudi Professional League
14.09.23	Al Akhdoud - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
04.05.16	Sepahan - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	0:2
20.04.16	Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Sepahan	4:0

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