Match Info

BELGIUM: CHALLENGER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)


	Seraing		Dender EH

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.5	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.73	3.49	2.03
	3.4	3.5	1.91
	3.58	3.65	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.55	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.02)	3.53 ↑ (3.46)	1.94 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Seraing
26.4%

Draw
26.1%

Dender EH
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

26.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seraing's form might have worsened.

Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dender EH's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seraing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dender EH, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Seraing - Dender EH Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Dender EH will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dender EH: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Margueron L. (G) 20. Metanire R. 4. Tshibuabua M. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 29. Kebe O. 23. Lepoint C. 25. Diarra D. 14. Guillaume V. 10. Cachbach M. 43. Douane M. 11. Soumah-Abbad E.	1. Gies X. (G) 28. Marzo S. 5. Ragolle D. 21. Cools K. 3. Pupe J. 7. M'barki R. 14. Myny O. 18. Rodes N. 10. Hens L. 11. Rajsel N. 77. Nsimba B.
Substitutes
22. Bayo A. 99. Dembele M. 1. Galje T. (G) 8. Kilota G. 97. Raillot L. 27. Sissoko S. 28. Spago E.	19. Akman A. 12. De Bodt A. 85. Dony A. 16. Masangu K. 22. Ruyssen G. 98. Soladio J. 26. Tani K. (G)
Coaches
Proment G.	Simons T.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Seraing won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 16-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.09.23	Francs Borains - Seraing	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Seraing - Anderlecht U23	1:1 ✺
17.09.23	Deinze - Seraing	1:0 ✺
02.09.23	Oostende - Seraing	1:1 ✺
25.08.23	Seraing - Zulte Waregem	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLTL
- FCV Dender EH
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.10.23	Dender EH - Genk U23	1:3 ✺
22.09.23	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Dender EH - Lommel	3:1 ✺
01.09.23	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Dender EH - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
22.02.20	Seraing - Dender EH	1:1
28.09.19	Dender EH - Seraing	0:1
Belgian Cup
17.08.19	Dender EH - Seraing	1:3
Belgian National Division 1
09.02.19	Seraing - Dender EH	2:2
06.10.18	Dender EH - Seraing	0:4
17.03.18	Dender EH - Seraing	1:1
04.11.17	Seraing - Dender EH	3:0

Upcoming Matches