Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 16

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)


	Seraing		Eupen

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.05	3.4	2.18	Watch
	3.04	3.72	2.21
	2.99	3.72	2.17	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.1
	3.05	3.28	2.14	Watch
	3	3.5	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (4.26)	3.46 ↓ (3.48)	2.16 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
30.4%

Draw
26.7%

Eupen
42.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.2%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

25.3%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Seraing's performance.

Eupen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eupen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Seraing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eupen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Seraing - Eupen Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (G) 4. Da Costa E. 5. Bukusu K. 6. Solheid N. (C) 27. Paulo da Silva T. 3. Kebe O. 17. Boukteb B. 22. Scarpinati M. 10. Faye S. 25. Agne Ba A. 9. Soumah-Abbad E.	1. Hiller M. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y. 28. Paeshuyse R. (C) 32. Plastun I. 5. Gavory N. 8. Mohwald K. 66. Busquets O. 22. Delaurier-Chaubet L. 27. Muller M. 7. Nuhu I. 20. Atteri Z.
Substitutes
90. Akpa-Chukwu H. 31. Bisarre M. 23. Diarra D. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 28. Gaye T. 18. Lommel A. 14. Mabani F. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 30. Ngoua B. (G)	10. Bitumazala N. 21. Bokadi M. 19. Caliskan B. 14. di Matteo R. 9. Kasper D. 18. Keita A. 4. Kennedy S. 33. Nurudeen A. (G) 13. Youndje K.
Coaches
Caprasse K.	Pinheiro B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Paeshuyse R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Faye S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Nuhu I. ⚽, Muller M. (A),
58', Faye S. ↓, Mabani F. ↑,
58', Boukteb B. ↓, Akpa-Chukwu H. ↑,
66', Bukusu K. ↓, Bisarre M. ↑,
72', Mohwald K. ↓, Keita A. ↑,
78', Da Costa E. 🟨,
79', Kebe O. ↓, Gaye T. ↑,
85', Van Genechten Y. 🟨,
87', Delaurier-Chaubet L. ↓, Caliskan B. ↑,
87', Gavory N. ↓, Kennedy S. ↑,
90', Nuhu I. ↓, Kasper D. ↑,
90', Atteri Z. ↓, Bitumazala N. ↑,
90+1', Plastun I. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1.

Recent performances by Seraing have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eupen's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Seraing has had a series of home games.

Eupen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
30.11.25	Seraing - Brugge U23	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Anderlecht U23 - Seraing	2:2 ✺
08.11.25	Seraing - Lokeren	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
30.10.25	Seraing - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.10.25	Seraing - Lierse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLT
- KAS Eupen
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.11.25	Eupen - Lommel	1:2 ✺
21.11.25	Beveren - Eupen	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Gent U23 - Eupen	2:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
29.10.25	Royal Antwerp - Eupen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.10.25	Eupen - Genk U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
12.04.25	Eupen - Seraing	2:1
05.10.24	Seraing - Eupen	1:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.12.22	Seraing - Eupen	0:1
19.08.22	Eupen - Seraing	1:3
29.01.22	Seraing - Eupen	0:0
28.08.21	Eupen - Seraing	1:2
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Eupen - Seraing	2:1

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