Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 8

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stevens T. (Bel)


	Seraing		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.10	2.50
	2.40	3.20	2.55
	2.32	3.35	2.65	Watch
	2.87	3.42	2.50
	2.37	3.55	2.77	Watch
	2.80	3.35	2.40
	2.47	3.14	2.53
	2.48	3.30	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.5)	3.3 ↓ (3.37)	2.57 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
36.3%

Draw
27.9%

Excelsior Virton
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.9%

27.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Excelsior Virton have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Seraing - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (C) 6. Da Costa E. 5. Corneillie V. 15. Diop M. 3. Kebe O. 20. Tunkadi A. 7. Namri A. 22. Scarpinati M. 14. Mabani F. 10. Faye S. 24. Lockman T.	1. De Schrevel C. (G) 22. Assengue S. 4. Kari E. 5. Mezague T. 3. Tchaptchet A. 28. Ben Hamed Y. 8. Arib G. 13. Dembele A. (C) 10. Wade P. 11. Hachem A. 17. Tormin T.
Substitutes
25. Aamer R. 36. Bisevac A. 4. Bisevac R. 19. Bouchentouf N. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 31. Gregoire L. 16. Jean-Baptiste R. (G) 23. Lawson Y. 29. Velleuer N.	16. Closset N. (G) 23. Diop A. 29. Fernandes N. 19. Goudani I. 6. Guillaume M. 9. Inchaud M. 14. Maiorano L. 18. Ntenda J. 26. Sanson V. 21. Valerio A.
Coaches
Mercier A.	Brncic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Faye S. ⚽, Namri A. (A),
24', Dembele A. 🟨,
24', Ben Hamed Y. ↓, Goudani I. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Wade P. ⚽, Arib G. (A),
39', Wade P. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Tormin T. ↓, Valerio A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Namri A. ⚽, Tunkadi A. (A),
62', Mabani F. 🟨,
66', Mezague T. ↓, Inchaud M. ↑,
70', Lockman T. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
78', Goudani I. 🟨,
81', Faye S. ↓, Lawson Y. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Mabani F. ⚽, Bouchentouf N. (A),

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 3.

Seraing is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Virton is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Seraing has faced a series of away games on the road.

Recently, Virton has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Seraing has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:6 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Seraing against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 9:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Virton	7	3	1	3	12:9	3	10
13	Seraing	8	1	2	5	11:16	-5	5

Last Results with these Odds

Seraing - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.85%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Cup
17.10.26	Zulte Waregem - Seraing	3:0 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.10.26	Gent U23 - Seraing	3:2 ✺
19.09.26	Genk U23 - Seraing	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Seraing - Hasselt	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Dender EH - Seraing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian Cup
17.10.26	Excelsior Virton - Genk	0:2 ✺
Belgian Challenger Pro League
10.10.26	Excelsior Virton - Hasselt	3:4 ✺
20.09.26	Lokeren - Excelsior Virton	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Excelsior Virton - Genk U23	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Excelsior Virton - Francs Borains	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1
16.03.19	Seraing - Excelsior Virton	1:1
20.10.18	Excelsior Virton - Seraing	0:0
13.01.18	Seraing - Excelsior Virton	2:0
14.10.17	Excelsior Virton - Seraing	1:2
11.02.17	Seraing - Excelsior Virton	2:0
Belgian Challenger Pro League
24.04.16	Seraing - Excelsior Virton	3:0
21.11.15	Excelsior Virton - Seraing	2:1

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