Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 28

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade du Pairay (Seraing)

Referee: Jacoby A. (Bel)


	Seraing		Francs Borains

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	2.88	3.15	2.4	Watch
	3.12	3.25	2.4
	2.72	3.1	2.68	Watch
	3	3	2.25
	2.98	3.19	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.65)	3.14 ↑ (3.03)	2.39 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seraing
32.1%

Draw
29.3%

Francs Borains
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Francs Borains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francs Borains than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Seraing - Francs Borains Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Seraing will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Francs Borains will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Francs Borains (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Francs Borains (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Francs Borains (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gillekens N. (G) 4. Da Costa E. 6. Solheid N. (C) 13. Camara H. 3. Kebe O. 22. Scarpinati M. 25. Ba A. 11. Muland M. 9. Soumah-Abbad E. 14. Mabani F. 90. Akpa-Chukwu H.	1. Pandor Y. (G) 26. Hadjem Y. 83. Kari Y. 24. Dessoleil D. (C) 77. Dalle Molle J. 20. Gece T. 11. Fixelles M. 8. Mondele L. 17. Bruno M. 25. Lavie C. 2. Prunier M.
Substitutes
19. Bouchentouf N. 5. Bukusu K. 21. Di Crescenzo V. 7. Duarte D. 20. Mejjati-Alami M. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 30. Ngoua B. (G) 26. Ondo-Eyi H. 27. Paulo da Silva T.	10. Ali A. 29. Bastian M. 33. Diliberto N. 15. Legrand L. 23. Malungu L. 98. Soladio J. 40. Swinnen V. (G) 60. Wukanya A. E. 7. Wydra P.
Coaches
Mercier A.	Vanderhaeghe Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Ba A. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽, Da Costa E. (A),
29', Fixelles M. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽, Ba A. (A),
39', Kari Y. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
39', Lavie C. ↓, Bastian M. ↑,
39', Hadjem Y. ↓, Diliberto N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Mabani F. 🟨,
58', Ba A. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
60', Mondele L. ↓, Soladio J. ↑,
66', Diliberto N. 🟨,
71', Muland M. ↓, Paulo da Silva T. ↑,
71', Kebe O. ↓, Ndiaye C. O. ↑,
74', Prunier M. ↓, Legrand L. ↑,
80', Soumah-Abbad E. ↓, Ondo-Eyi H. ↑,
80', Mabani F. ↓, Di Crescenzo V. ↑,
84', Scarpinati M. 🟨,
85', 4 - 0, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽,
90+1', Dalle Molle J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Francs Borains may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Seraing has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Seraing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Seraing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Francs Borains	6	4	0	2	9:7	2	12
14	Seraing	6	0	2	4	6:12	-6	2

Last Results with these Odds

Seraing - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Francs Borains - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
01.03.26	Lommel - Seraing	0:1 ✺
13.02.26	Lierse - Seraing	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Seraing - Anderlecht U23	1:2 ✺
30.01.26	Brugge U23 - Seraing	1:0 ✺
27.01.26	Beerschot Wilrijk - Seraing	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLLT
- Francs Borains
Belgian Challenger Pro League
28.02.26	Francs Borains - Beerschot Wilrijk	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Eupen - Francs Borains	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Francs Borains - Beveren	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Francs Borains - RWDM Brussels	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Francs Borains	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
23.09.25	Francs Borains - Seraing	0:0
Club Friendly
04.07.25	Francs Borains - Seraing	4:1
Belgian Challenger Pro League
25.01.25	Seraing - Francs Borains	1:1
03.11.24	Francs Borains - Seraing	0:1
14.01.24	Seraing - Francs Borains	1:5
30.09.23	Francs Borains - Seraing	0:2

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