The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lierse 42.9%
Draw 27.2%
Seraing 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
25.1%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
24.3%
22%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lierse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lierse's form might have worsened.
Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seraing's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lierse than the current prediction. (+11%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lierse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seraing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
25%
8.3%
Lierse - Seraing Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Lierse will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lierse: 41.6% โ 98.4%.
1. De Smet J. (G) 66. Mertens J. (C) 24. Willems J. 4. Vanderhallen S. 77. Masaki H. 22. Van Meirvenne C. 8. Daguin V. 6. Matuta E. 21. Yeboah E. 10. Stanic A. 9. Boncina L.
1. Gillekens N. (G) 4. Da Costa E. 6. Solheid N. (C) 5. Bukusu K. 27. Paulo da Silva T. 7. Duarte D. 22. Scarpinati M. 11. Muland M. 9. Soumah-Abbad E. 25. Ba A. 90. Akpa-Chukwu H.
Substitutes
17. Demuynck D. 27. De Peuter D. 45. De Ridder N. 7. Hidraoui-Akachar Y. 3. Mayoka-Tika N. 29. Sy M. 32. Van Clemen W. (G) 26. Van Elsuwege T. 44. Verbist L.
19. Bouchentouf N. 17. Boukteb B. 13. Camara H. 23. Diarra D. 10. Faye S. 3. Kebe O. 20. Mejjati-Alami M. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 30. Ngoua B. (G)
Coaches
Shoffner J.
Caprasse K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Ba A. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
65', Boncina L. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
67', Duarte D. ↓, Diarra D. ↑,
76', Yeboah E. 🟨,
78', Da Costa E. ↓, Kebe O. ↑,
79', Paulo da Silva T. ↓, Bouchentouf N. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Akpa-Chukwu H. ⚽, Muland M. (A),
85', Willems J. ↓, Mayoka-Tika N. ↑,
85', Yeboah E. ↓, Sy M. ↑,
87', Stanic A. ↓, Hidraoui-Akachar Y. ↑,
Preview
Lierse has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Seraing has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Lierse has had a series of away games.
Lierse is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lierse won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Lierse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).