The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Seraing 14.6%
Draw 21.7%
Saint-Gilloise 63.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
15.8%
21.4%
62.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.6%
21.1%
63.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seraing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (+1%)
The ML Model estimate for Saint-Gilloise aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.6%
4.7%
83.7%
Seraing - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% โ 94.75%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Challenger Pro League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group)).
Seraing has the most likely position - 18 (21.34%), has project points - 30, has currently - 11, has a good chance of relegated (61%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Union SG has the most likely position - 3 (28.14%), has project points - 67, has currently - 29, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (36%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
This event has quality37, importance42, match rating39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Seraing won 1.
Recent matches Seraing is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Union SG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Seraing could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Union SG is a favorite.
There will not play in Seraing: Ba A.
(Injury)
D'Onofrio F.
(Injury)
Dembele M.
(Injury)
Dietsch G.
(Injury)
Kilota G.
(Knee Injury)
Lepoint C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Francois G.
(Suspended)
Lazare Amani J.
(Yellow Cards)
Machida K.
(Hip Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Seraing won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Seraing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.
Watch
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