Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 23 January 2025, Thursday

Location: King Baudouin Stadium (Brussels)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Saint-Gilloise		Braga

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.5
	1.8	3.7	4.33
	1.8	4	4.3
	1.78	3.9	4.63
	1.77	3.87	4.44
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.85	3.85	4.65
	1.8	4	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.95)	3.83 ↑ (3.71)	4.44 ↑ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saint-Gilloise
53.4%

Draw
25.1%

Braga
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

25.9%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	25%	13.9%

Saint Gilloise - Braga Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 22 - 62.9%). Braga will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 46.9% – 78.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Moris A. (C) 26. Sykes R. 16. Burgess C. 48. Leysen F. 28. Machida K. 6. Van De Perre K. 22. Niang O. 10. Ait El Hadj A. 27. Sadiki N. 9. Ivanovic F. 77. Fuseini M.	91. Hornicek L. (G) 3. Robson Bambu 15. Oliveira P. 4. Niakate S. 11. Fernandes R. 21. Horta R. (C) 8. Moutinho J. 29. Gorby 77. Martinez G. 9. El Ouazzani A. 7. Bruma
Substitutes
32. Asri M. 33. Berradi S. 1. Chambaere V. (G) 14. Imbrechts J. (G) 4. Rasmussen M. 13. Rodriguez K. 74. Tshilanda Kabongo D.	26. Arrey-Mbi B. 20. Gharbi I. 2. Gomez V. 10. Horta A. 92. Macedo R. 19. Marin A. 53. Noro J. 25. Ribeiro Y. 50. Rodrigues D. 12. Sa T. (G) 6. Vitor Carvalho 16. Zalazar R.
Coaches
Pocognoli S.	Carvalhal C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, El Ouazzani A. ⚽, Bruma (A),
45', Burgess C. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gorby ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
46', Leysen F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Niang O. (A),
66', Machida K. 🟨,
68', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
73', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
73', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Ivanovic F. ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),
79', Vitor Carvalho 🟨,
80', Niakate S. 🟨,
80', Horta R. 🟨,
82', Machida K. 🟨,
84', Oliveira P. ↓, Gharbi I. ↑,
84', Horta R. ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
84', Fernandes R. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
90', Sadiki N. 🟨,
90', Gharbi I. 🟨,
90+5', Van De Perre K. 🟨,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - King Baudouin Stadium.

Union SG is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Braga is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Union SG will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Union SG: Khalaili A. (Yellow Cards) Mac Allister K. (Yellow Cards) Teklab H. (Broken Leg) Vanhoutte C. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Braga: Matheus (Red Card)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Union SG won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Union SG won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royale Union Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.01.25	Saint-Gilloise - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
08.01.25	Royal Antwerp - Saint-Gilloise	5:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.24	Gent - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
22.12.24	Saint-Gilloise - Club Brugge	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWT
- SC Braga
Liga Portugal
19.01.25	Estrela da Amadora - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
15.01.25	Braga - Lusitano GC	2:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
08.01.25	Benfica - Braga	3:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
04.01.25	Benfica - Braga	1:2 ✺
29.12.24	Braga - Casa Pia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.10.22	Saint-Gilloise - Braga	3:3
06.10.22	Braga - Saint-Gilloise	1:2

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