The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Malmö 23.8%
Draw 26.2%
Saint-Gilloise 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.6%
27.9%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
27.8%
44.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.3%
3.9%
88.8%
Malmö - Saint Gilloise Predictions
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(159 of 179 users predict this - 88.83%). Confidence interval (95%): 84.22% – 93.44%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
Malmö has not chance of knockout phase, has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 0, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd.
Union SG has a very good chance of knockout phase (99%), has a good chance of round of 16 (87%), has a chance of qtrs (24%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 10, has a good chance of 1st (83%), has a chance of 2nd (16%), has a very small chance of 3rd (1%).
This event has quality44, small importance11, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Malmö has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Union SG is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Malmö could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Union SG have a series of home games.
In this match Union SG is a favorite.
There will not play in Malmö: Berget J.
(Injury)
Ceesay J.
(Muscle Injury)
Lomotey E.
(Red Card)
Moisander N.
(Knee Injury)
Nalic A.
(Knee Injury)
Siby M.
(Hip Injury)
There will not play in Union SG: Eckert Ayensa D.
(Injury)
Machida K.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Malmö: Olsson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Malmö won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Australia
Finland
Norway
Poland
Sweden
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