Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - ROUND 17

Date: 21 December 2022, Wednesday


	Seregno		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	2.65
	2.25	3.5	2.65
	2.55	3.3	2.44
	2.38	3	2.7
	2.5	3.32	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.15)	3.26 ↓ (3.32)	2.59 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seregno
37.6%

Draw
27.6%

Desenzano Calvina
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

26.5%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seregno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seregno, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-5%)

Seregno - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Seregno is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Desenzano is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Seregno could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Seregno will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Seregno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Seregno won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
18.12.22	Breno - Seregno	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Seregno - Real Calepina	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Sona - Seregno	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Seregno - Varesina	1:3 ✺
20.11.22	Seregno - Alcione	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Varesina	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Cremonese - Desenzano Calvina	7:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
11.12.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	3:1 ✺
04.12.22	Desenzano Calvina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
09.05.21	Seregno - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
24.01.21	Desenzano Calvina - Seregno	3:3

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