Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 14 May 2023, Sunday


	Alcione		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.75
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.41	4.36	5.42
	1.62	3.6	4.5
	1.41	4.65	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.74)	4.26 ↑ (3.57)	5.46 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcione
62.2%

Draw
21.2%

Desenzano Calvina
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

25%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.5%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alcione - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Alcione is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.05.23	Villa Valle - Alcione	3:2 ✺
30.04.23	Alcione - Arconatese	3:1 ✺
23.04.23	Breno - Alcione	1:4 ✺
16.04.23	Alcione - Real Calepina	3:2 ✺
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWWT
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
07.05.23	Desenzano Calvina - Seregno	5:2 ✺
30.04.23	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
06.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Alcione	1:1
27.11.22	Alcione - Desenzano Calvina	1:0

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