Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 26

Date: 19 April 2023, Wednesday


	Serpa		Angrense

	1	X	2
	1.4	4	7
	1.33	4.5	7.25
	1.28	4.6	8
	1.31	5.11	9.19
	1.31	4.95	8.3	Watch
	1.33	4.7	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.35)	4.64 ↓ (4.7)	7.86 ↑ (7.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
68.7%

Draw
19.6%

Angrense
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

19.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

11.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Angrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-30.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angrense than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Angrense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Serpa - Angrense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 and 12).

Recent matches Serpa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Angrense has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Serpa is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serpa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Atlético CP - Serpa	4:3 ✺
02.04.23	Serpa - Ferreiras	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Serpa - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL
- SC Angrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.04.23	Angrense - Lusitano GC	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Juventude de Évora - Angrense	6:0 ✺
19.03.23	Angrense - Esperança de Lagos	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Imortal - Angrense	3:0 ✺
04.03.23	Angrense - Praiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Angrense - Serpa	1:0

Serpa - Angrense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide