Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday


	Serpa		Ferreiras

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.5	5
	1.6	3.55	5.84
	1.61	3.54	5.5
	1.58	3.45	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)	3.51 ↓ (3.69)	5.49 (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serpa
57.3%

Draw
26%

Ferreiras
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

24.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

15.5%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ferreiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferreiras than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferreiras could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 13).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Serpa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Serpa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Serpa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Serpa - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Juventude de Évora - Serpa	0:0 ✺
05.03.23	Serpa - Esperança de Lagos	2:4 ✺
26.02.23	Imortal - Serpa	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Serpa - Praiense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTLTL
- FC Ferreiras
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Ferreiras - Oriental Dragon	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Lusitano GC - Ferreiras	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Ferreiras - Olhanense	0:1 ✺
26.02.23	Juventude de Évora - Ferreiras	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Ferreiras - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Ferreiras - Serpa	0:2

Serpa - Ferreiras: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide