Location: Complexo Desportivo Manuel Baião (Serpa)
Serpa
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1
X
2
1.45
4.51
5.04
1.49
4.2
5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.47 ↓ (1.69)
4.36 ↑ (3.88)
5.16 ↑ (3.86)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Serpa 61.6%
Draw 20.8%
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
23.2%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
22.8%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serpa's performance.
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama Vidigueira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Serpa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama Vidigueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Serpa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Aquino ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
Serpa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Vasco da Gama's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Serpa is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
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