Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Sertanense		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.87	2.45
	2.9	2.93	2.55
	2.74	3.04	2.42
	2.8	2.95	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (2.86)	2.95 ↓ (3.04)	2.47 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
32.5%

Draw
30.8%

SC Lusitânia
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

30.3%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

29.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SC Lusitânia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	Marinhense - Sertanense	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Rabo de Peixe - Sertanense	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	Peniche - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Sertanense - SB Castelo Branco	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sertanense - União de Tomar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- SC Lusitânia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
21.01.24	SC Lusitânia - Rabo de Peixe	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Fontinhas - SC Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
07.01.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Tomar	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Mortágua - SC Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
17.09.23	SC Lusitânia - Sertanense	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.17	Sertanense - SC Lusitânia	0:0

Sertanense - SC Lusitânia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide