Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sestao		Beasain

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.4
	1.68	3.35	4.55
	1.68	3.31	5.2
	1.71	3.29	5.07	Watch
	1.7	3.1	5
	1.68	3.24	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)	4.89 ↓ (5.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
53.7%

Draw
27.8%

Beasain
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

26.6%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

27.6%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Beasain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sestao - Beasain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 1 - 0, Pradera M. ⚽,
90+2', Barandiaran A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, Zubillaga J. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Beasain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.26	Náxara - Sestao	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Sestao - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ebro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Eibar B - Sestao	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestao - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWTLL
- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.03.26	Beasain - Mutilvera	3:2 ✺
21.03.26	Eibar B - Beasain	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Beasain - Gernika	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Real Unión de Irun - Beasain	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Beasain - Tudelano	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.11.25	Beasain - Sestao	1:1
30.04.23	Sestao - Beasain	2:0
17.12.22	Beasain - Sestao	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.11.20	Sestao - Beasain	0:2
27.10.19	Sestao - Beasain	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.01.18	Sestao - Beasain	1:0

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