Match Info

Date: 21 May 2022, Saturday


	Sestao		Lleida

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.95
	2.2	2.9	3.3
	2.29	3.25	2.75
	2.62	2.78	3.09
	2.35	2.8	2.9
	2.42	3.02	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.89)	2.96 ↓ (3.38)	2.99 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestao
38.7%

Draw
30.8%

Lleida
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestao's form might have worsened.

Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lleida than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lleida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sestao - Lleida Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sestao in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lleida is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sestao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sestao will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
15.05.22	Sestao - Tropezón	4:2 ✺
08.05.22	Izarra - Sestao	0:1 ✺
30.04.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
24.04.22	UD Logroñés Promesas - Sestao	1:1 ✺
16.04.22	Sestao - Gernika	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW
- Lleida
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
15.05.22	Lleida - Numancia	2:0 ✺
11.05.22	Numancia - Lleida	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Brea - Lleida	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Lleida - Huesca B	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Ejea - Lleida	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLWW

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