Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 11

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday


	Sestri Levante		Casale

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.1	2.1
	3.2	3.1	2.1
	3.19	3.06	2.12
	3.15	3.2	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.32)	3.12 ↑ (2.92)	2.11 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
28.5%

Draw
28.9%

Casale
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

27.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.

Casale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casale's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casale than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casale, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sestri Levante - Casale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1.

Sestri Levante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Casale is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casale will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.22	PDHAE - Sestri Levante	0:2 ✺
16.10.22	Sestri Levante - Fossano	1:0 ✺
09.10.22	Derthona - Sestri Levante	0:3 ✺
05.10.22	Sestri Levante - Castellanzese	3:2 ✺
02.10.22	Asti - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWWW
- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
23.10.22	Casale - Stresa Vergante	2:2 ✺
16.10.22	Gozzano - Casale	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Casale - Vado	1:1 ✺
05.10.22	Ligorna - Casale	0:0 ✺
02.10.22	Chieri - Casale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
20.03.22	Casale - Sestri Levante	0:0
10.11.21	Sestri Levante - Casale	0:0
10.04.21	Sestri Levante - Casale	3:1
13.12.20	Casale - Sestri Levante	0:0
06.01.19	Sestri Levante - Casale	1:4
16.09.18	Casale - Sestri Levante	1:0

Sestri Levante - Casale: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide