Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Sestri Levante		Pescara

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	5.2	3.55	1.66
	5.1	3.58	1.7	Watch
	5	3.3	1.67
	4.93	3.53	1.71	Watch
	5.2	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↓ (5.84)	3.49 ↓ (3.69)	1.67 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
18.3%

Draw
26.5%

Pescara
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.7%

24.9%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

24.4%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pescara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Sestri Levante - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: Pescara will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guadagno J. (G) 5. Valentini N. 4. Pane M. 95. Primasso A. 27. Podda L. 25. Nunziatini F. 18. Rosetti M. 10. Clemenza L. 43. Montebugnoli M. 11. Cominetti M. 9. Parravicini N.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 2. Letizia G. 79. Lancini E. 13. Brosco R. 27. Moruzzi B. 8. Dagasso M. 6. Squizzato N. 14. Valzania L. 21. Ferraris A. 9. Alberti T. 7. Meazzi L.
Substitutes
29. Di Giorgio R. 58. Fedele M. 22. Fusco E. (G) 17. Goglino P. A. 23. Nenci O. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A. 77. Piu A. 86. Raggio G. S. 12. Sias F. (G)	11. Cangiano G. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 42. Isufi A. 5. Kraja E. 10. Merola D. 77. Pierozzi E. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 15. Tonin R. 19. Zeppieri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', Letizia G. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Valentini N. ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Meazzi L. ⚽,
42', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Podda L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Letizia G. ↓, Pierozzi E. ↑,
46', Valzania L. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
51', 3 - 1, Clemenza L. ⚽,
51', Clemenza L. 🟨,
57', Alberti T. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,
78', Lancini E. 🟨,
78', Clemenza L. ↓, Raggio G. S. ↑,
83', Moruzzi B. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).

Sestri Levante is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pescara is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pescara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Pescara is a favorite.

There will not play in Sestri Levante: Giorno F. (Broken Leg) Oneto E. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Pescara: Lonardi L. (Knee Injury) Pellacani F. (Red Card) Staver C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sestri Levante: Furno C. (Inactive)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.25	Virtus Entella - Sestri Levante	4:0 ✺
11.03.25	Ternana - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Sestri Levante - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Arezzo - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sestri Levante - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Pescara - Vis Pesaro	2:2 ✺
11.03.25	Pontedera - Pescara	0:3 ✺
07.03.25	Pescara - Lucchese	4:1 ✺
01.03.25	Pescara - SPAL	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Milan Futuro - Pescara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	1:0
27.01.24	Pescara - Sestri Levante	3:0
19.09.23	Sestri Levante - Pescara	1:2

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