The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pescara 56.7%
Draw 23.7%
SPAL 19.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
24.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.8%
22.6%
12.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pescara's form might have worsened.
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting SPAL's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pescara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SPAL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pescara - SPAL Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 79. Lancini E. 23. Pellacani F. 13. Brosco R. (C) 27. Moruzzi B. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 20. Bentivegna A. 15. Tonin R. 11. Cangiano G.
12. Galeotti C. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 3. Bruscagin M. 29. Nador S. 28. Calapai L. 20. Zammarini R. 10. Radrezza I. 19. Mignanelli D. 40. Spini C. 7. Antenucci M. (C) 27. Parigini V.
Substitutes
9. Alberti T. 40. Arena A. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 21. Ferraris A. 2. Letizia G. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 77. Pierozzi E. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C.
5. Awua T. 26. Bassoli A. 33. D'Orazio L. 15. Haoudi H. 90. Kane L. 9. Karlsson O. 22. Meneghetti M. (G) 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 4. Paghera F. 11. Rao E. 31. Zenti A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Brosco R. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
37', Lancini E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Spini C. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
46', Moruzzi B. ↓, Crialese C. ↑,
46', Bruscagin M. ↓, D'Orazio L. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, D'Orazio L. ⚽,
55', Tonin R. ↓, Alberti T. ↑,
55', Bentivegna A. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
61', Alberti T. 🟨,
64', Parigini V. ↓, Awua T. ↑,
67', Squizzato N. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
69', Antenucci M. 🟨,
72', Zammarini R. 🟨,
74', Calapai L. ↓, Bassoli A. ↑,
79', Fiordaliso A. ↓, Nina C. ↑,
83', Radrezza I. 🟨,
90', Cangiano G. 🟨,
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Recent matches Pescara is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
SPAL has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Pescara is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pescara won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:6 (average 0.8:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Pescara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).