Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 30

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Adriatico - Giovanni Cornacchia (Pescara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Pescara		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.4	4.5
	1.57	3.8	5.6
	1.57	3.87	5.82
	1.6	3.8	5.71	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5.5
	1.61	3.9	5.2	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.43)	3.72 ↓ (3.99)	5.42 ↓ (6.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pescara
58.1%

Draw
24.8%

Lucchese
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

22.7%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

21.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pescara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pescara's form might have worsened.

Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pescara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	22.2%	0%

Pescara - Lucchese Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Pescara will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pescara: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Plizzari A. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 13. Brosco R. 23. Pellacani F. 27. Moruzzi B. 14. Valzania L. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 20. Bentivegna A. 9. Alberti T. 11. Cangiano G.	69. Melgrati R. (G) 6. Gasbarro A. 27. Gucher R. 5. Benedetti S. 30. Gemignani A. 21. Visconti E. 31. Catanese G. 24. Welbeck N. 23. Ballarini M. 70. Saporiti E. 10. Selvini A.
Substitutes
40. Arena A. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 21. Ferraris A. 79. Lancini E. 2. Letizia G. 7. Meazzi L. 10. Merola D. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C. 15. Tonin R.	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 29. Antoni E. 20. Badje I. 26. Cartano R. 1. Coletta J. (G) 2. da Silva J. 19. Fedato F. 80. Gheza F. 9. Magnaghi S. 3. Rizzo N. 15. Salomaa H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bentivegna A. ↓, Ferraris A. ↑,
32', Saporiti E. ↓, Magnaghi S. ↑,
38', Brosco R. 🟨,
45+3', Catanese G. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Brosco R. ↓, Lancini E. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Valzania L. ⚽,
59', 1 - 1, Selvini A. ⚽,
62', Pierozzi E. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Valzania L. ⚽,
66', Alberti T. ↓, Arena A. ↑,
70', Welbeck N. ↓, Antoni E. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Ferraris A. ⚽,
72', 🟨,
74', 4 - 1, Arena A. ⚽,
77', Gucher R. ↓, Rizzo N. ↑,
78', Visconti E. ↓, Fedato F. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Pescara is a favorite.

There will not play in Pescara: Kraja E. (Knee Injury) Lonardi L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lucchese: Galli G. (Inactive) Giacchino G. (Inactive) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pescara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Pescara won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.25	Pescara - SPAL	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Milan Futuro - Pescara	2:3 ✺
17.02.25	Pescara - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Carpi - Pescara	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Pescara - Virtus Entella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWT
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
01.03.25	Lucchese - Carpi	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Sestri Levante - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
17.02.25	Lucchese - Perugia	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Milan Futuro - Lucchese	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Pianese - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.24	Lucchese - Pescara	1:3
24.02.24	Pescara - Lucchese	1:0
22.10.23	Lucchese - Pescara	1:4
03.04.22	Lucchese - Pescara	2:1
28.11.21	Pescara - Lucchese	0:0

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