Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 29

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Arezzo		Sestri Levante

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.8	6
	1.5	4.13	7.33
	1.51	3.95	6.64	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.58	3.61	6.2	Watch
	1.48	3.8	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)	3.82 ↑ (3.2)	6.36 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
61.2%

Draw
24.3%

Sestri Levante
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.4%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sestri Levante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sestri Levante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Sestri Levante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 6. Renzi A. 5. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 23. Righetti S. 18. Damiani M. 7. Guccione F. 28. Capello A. 10. Pattarello E. 11. Ravasio M. 21. Tavernelli C.	99. Guadagno J. (G) 27. Podda L. 5. Valentini N. 4. Pane M. 43. Montebugnoli M. 86. Raggio G. S. 6. Brunet J. 3. Furno C. 18. Rosetti M. 9. Parravicini N. 77. Piu A.
Substitutes
26. Bigi N. 22. Borra D. (G) 24. Chierico L. 27. Coccia L. 33. Dezi J. 16. Eklu S. M. 14. Fiore S. 15. Gigli N. 17. Lazzarini M. 2. Montini A. 9. Ogunseye R. 20. Santoro S.	10. Clemenza L. 11. Cominetti M. 29. Di Giorgio R. 58. Fedele M. 22. Fusco E. (G) 17. Goglino P. A. 23. Nenci O. 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 95. Primasso A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Damiani M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Raggio G. S. ↓, Fedele M. ↑,
57', 🟨,
65', Parravicini N. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
74', Capello A. ↓, Chierico L. ↑,
77', Valentini N. 🟨,
78', Brunet J. ↓, Nunziatini F. ↑,
78', Podda L. ↓, Primasso A. ↑,
78', Piu A. ↓, Clemenza L. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Ravasio M. ⚽,
90+5', Ravasio M. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Arezzo is a favorite.

There will not play in Sestri Levante: Giorno F. (Broken Leg)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
24.02.25	Rimini - Arezzo	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Arezzo - Sassari Torres	0:1 ✺
10.02.25	Ternana - Arezzo	3:1 ✺
02.02.25	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
27.01.25	Arezzo - Pontedera	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLLTL
- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
23.02.25	Sestri Levante - Lucchese	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Vis Pesaro - Sestri Levante	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Sestri Levante - Pianese	2:3 ✺
02.02.25	Sassari Torres - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.24	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:1
28.04.24	Arezzo - Sestri Levante	2:1
23.12.23	Sestri Levante - Arezzo	0:0

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