Match Info

Date: 1 April 2022, Friday


	Sesvete		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	5
	1.52	3.5	5
	1.49	3.7	5.8
	1.47	4	7.4
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.4	4.25	7.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.82)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)	5.78 ↑ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sesvete
59.6%

Draw
24.6%

Kustošija
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

26.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

25.9%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sesvete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sesvete's performance.

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kustošija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sesvete than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sesvete that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kustošija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sesvete - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 0.

Recent matches Sesvete is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kustošija is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sesvete is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sesvete won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sesvete won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Sesvete
Croatian Prva NL
18.03.22	Inter Zaprešić - Sesvete	2:0 ✺
11.03.22	Sesvete - Cibalia	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Orijent - Sesvete	0:3 ✺
26.02.22	Sesvete - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
19.02.22	Dugopolje - Sesvete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWTL
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
19.03.22	Kustošija - Jarun Zagreb	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Rudeš - Kustošija	2:0 ✺
05.03.22	Kustošija - Varaždin	0:2 ✺
26.02.22	Opatija - Kustošija	2:1 ✺
19.02.22	Kustošija - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
29.01.22	Sesvete - Kustošija	2:0
Croatian Prva NL
25.09.21	Kustošija - Sesvete	1:2
12.02.21	Sesvete - Kustošija	0:0
Club Friendly
20.01.21	Sesvete - Kustošija	2:0
Croatian Prva NL
14.08.20	Kustošija - Sesvete	1:4
28.09.19	Kustošija - Sesvete	1:0
18.05.19	Kustošija - Sesvete	2:0

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