Match Info
Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Kustošija |
|
Varaždin |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.4 |
3.05 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.47 |
3.04 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.44 |
3.22 |
2.06 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(3.22) |
3.08 ↓
(3.14) |
2.06 ↓
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kustošija
27% | Draw
29.2% | Varaždin
43.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Varaždin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kustošija that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varaždin than the current prediction. (+13.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varaždin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. HNL).Last 5 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 0. Kustošija is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Varaždin is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Recently Kustošija have a series of guest games. Recently Varaždin have a series of home games. Varaždin will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Kustošija won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-9. Including matches at home between the teams Kustošija won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Croatian Prva NL | | | 11.09.21 | Varaždin - Kustošija | 3:3 | | 30.03.19 | Varaždin - Kustošija | 2:1 | | 21.09.18 | Kustošija - Varaždin | 2:1 | | 24.03.18 | Varaždin - Kustošija | 2:0 | | 21.10.17 | Kustošija - Varaždin | 1:0 | | 26.08.17 | Varaždin - Kustošija | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
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✺ - difficult match;
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