Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 25

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Setúbal		Fabril do Barreiro

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.6	7
	1.35	4.5	7.5
	1.35	4.54	8.82
	1.36	4.54	8.82
	1.33	4.55	7.95
	1.34	4.7	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	4.57 ↑ (4.13)	7.85 ↓ (8.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
68.3%

Draw
20.1%

Fabril do Barreiro
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

22.5%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Fabril do Barreiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Joca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 8).

Setúbal is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group )

Setúbal is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fabril do Barreiro is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Setúbal is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Setúbal to win the game is with odds 1.39.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.03.24	Oriental - Setúbal	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Setúbal - Juventude de Évora	3:0 ✺
03.03.24	Barreirense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Setúbal - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TWWWT
- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.03.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Elvas	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Oriental	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Juventude de Évora - Fabril do Barreiro	0:0 ✺
25.02.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Barreirense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Sintrense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
09.12.23	Fabril do Barreiro - Setúbal	0:1

Setúbal - Fabril do Barreiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide