Match Info
PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group - Round 5Date: 25 May 2024, SaturdayLocation: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Setúbal |
|
Moncarapachense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.6 |
4.75 |
|
 |
1.6 |
3.6 |
5 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.72 |
5.38 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.72 |
5.38 |
|
 |
1.58 |
3.74 |
5.1 |
|
 |
1.61 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.45) |
3.66 ↓
(3.75) |
5.09 ↓
(6.79) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Setúbal
57% | Draw
25% | Moncarapachense
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Setúbal's form might have worsened.Moncarapachense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Setúbal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moncarapachense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors. 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 3. Setúbal is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Moncarapachense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). In this match Setúbal is certain favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7. Including matches at home between the teams Setúbal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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