Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 21

Date: 24 February 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio do Bonfim (Setúbal) 🌤️ ...


	Setúbal		Sintrense

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.1	7.25
	1.36	4.33	7.5
	1.41	4.21	8.01
	1.36	4.25	7.95
	1.38	4.1	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.75)	4.2 ↑ (3.4)	7.66 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
66.3%

Draw
21.7%

Sintrense
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

26.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Setúbal's performance.

Sintrense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sintrense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sintrense than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sintrense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 4).

Setúbal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Sintrense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Setúbal is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Setúbal won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
18.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWW
- SU Sintrense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
17.02.24	Sintrense - Fabril do Barreiro	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Oriental - Sintrense	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Sintrense - Juventude de Évora	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Barreirense - Sintrense	2:0 ✺
20.01.24	Sintrense - Elvas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
01.11.23	Sintrense - Setúbal	1:1

Setúbal - Sintrense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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