The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 24.3%
Draw 26.1%
Atlético Madrid 49.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
24.6%
52.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
24.6%
52.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (C) 17. Garcia D. 5. Llamas E. 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 20. Marquez R. 6. Redondo A. 10. Cortes M. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 8. Alvarez A. 7. Morcillo R.
1. Lola (C) 4. Lauren Leal 5. Perez X. 11. Menayo C. 22. Luany 6. Boe Risa V. 21. Iannuzzi F. 17. Bartel J. 3. Medina A. 7. Jensen S. 20. Sarriegi A.
Substitutes
16. Arnaiz I. 35. Barrios X. 19. Cerrato A. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 21. Gili Giner G. 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 34. Torres J.
23. Alexia 16. Chinchilla P. 9. Guijarro S. 12. Kuhl K. 13. Larque P. (G) 27. Martin N. 14. Otermin R. 19. Portales Nieto M. 41. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Losada D.
Herrera J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Alvarez A. (Penalty Awarded),
45+3', Redondo A. 🟨,
45+7', 2 - 0, Alvarez A. ⚽, Kanteh Cham F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 2 - 1, Perez X. ⚽, Menayo C. (A),
63', Cortes M. ↓, Gili Giner G. ↑,
63', Redondo A. ↓, Arnaiz I. ↑,
65', Bartel J. ↓, Martin N. ↑,
72', Menayo C. ↓, Otermin R. ↑,
72', Sarriegi A. ↓, Alexia ↑,
77', Martin-Pozuelo E. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
78', Lola 🟨,
83', Luany ↓, Chinchilla P. ↑,
84', Boe Risa V. ↓, Kuhl K. ↑,
84', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Hagel C. ↑,
84', Llamas E. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
90+1', Alvarez A. 🟨,
90+3', Alvarez A. 🟨,
90+3', Medina A. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Sevilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Madrid is the team to beat.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.8:2.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).