Match Info

LaLiga - Round 3

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport LaLiga
Albania	21:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	16:30	DSports 1
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2
Australia	05:30	beIN Sports 2
Austria	21:30	Laola1
Belarus	22:30	Belarus 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:30	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:30	Caze TV, Disney+
Canada	15:30	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	21:30	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	22:30	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:30	Disney+
Ecuador	14:30	DAZN
Finland	22:30	Disney+
France	21:30	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	21:30	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Laola1
Greece	22:30	COSMOTE Sport 7
Hungary	21:30	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Italy	21:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	21:30	ART Sport 3
Malta	21:30	TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:30	Ziggo Sport
Norway	21:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Poland	21:30	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	20:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	22:30	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV
Serbia	21:30	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	21:30	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	21:30	SportKlub 3
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:30	M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:30	Disney+
Turkey	22:30	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	22:30	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:30	Disney+
Uruguay	16:30	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	15:30	ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:30	DAZN, DSports 1


	Sevilla		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.91	Watch
	4.00	3.40	1.95
	4.20	3.30	1.95	Watch
	4.21	3.52	1.99
	4.03	3.55	1.96
	4.05	3.45	1.99
	4.49	3.56	1.90	Watch
	4.20	3.50	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.45)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	1.95 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
23.1%

Draw
27.7%

Atlético Madrid
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.6%

28%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	16.4%	74.5%

Sevilla - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 9.1%). Atlético will win (votes: 41 - 74.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 63% – 86%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Atlético (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Iglesias J. 5. Castrin 4. Salas K. 17. Suazo G. (C) 6. Agoume L. 18. Guridi J. 30. Sierra M. 10. Peque 3. Diaz J. 9. Ure R.	13. Oblak J. (C) 14. Llorente M. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 22. Grimaldo A. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 23. Hjulmand M. 11. Lookman A. 7. Lee Kang-In 10. Baena A.
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 22. Carmona J. A. 26. Castillo M. 21. Ejuke C. 13. Fran (G) 7. Gonzalez A. 27. Guillen N. 8. Kochorashvili G. 34. Munoz I. 16. Romero I. 12. Sangante A. 37. Sow I.	5. Cardoso J. 46. Castillo J. 29. Cubo M. 27. Dominguez J. 2. Gimenez J. 6. Koke 12. Martin C. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 16. Ortiz A. 21. Romero C.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
4', 0 - 1, Baena A. ⚽, Lee Kang-In (A),
26', 0 - 2, Lookman A. ⚽, Barrios P. (A),
33', 0 - 3, Baena A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
45+4', Llorente M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Diaz J. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
55', Guridi J. ↓, Kochorashvili G. ↑,
66', Lookman A. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
66', Llorente M. ↓, Gimenez J. ↑,
66', 1 - 3, Sierra M. ⚽, Ure R. (A),
68', Peque ↓, Romero I. ↑,
72', Lee Kang-In ↓, Koke ↑,
80', Sierra M. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
85', Hjulmand M. ↓, Cardoso J. ↑,
85', Baena A. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
89', Romero I. 🟨,
90+1', Suazo G. 🟨,
90+5', Pubill M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 2.

Sevilla is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Atlético is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:36. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.4:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	10	8	1	1	20:8	12	25
6	Sevilla	10	5	2	3	16:16	0	17

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 6.4% Sevilla: 0.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 27.63%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Atlético Madrid - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 44.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
22.08.26	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
15.08.26	Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.26	Utrecht - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	NEC Nijmegen - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Sevilla - Ceuta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWWW
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Manchester United - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Atlético Madrid - Getafe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.04.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	2:1
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	3:0
06.04.25	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:2
08.12.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	4:3
11.02.24	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
25.01.24	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
23.12.23	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	1:0

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