Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 36

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Sevilla		Cádiz

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.6
	2.1	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.11	3.52	3.7
	2.11	3.52	3.69
	2.05	3.5	3.5
	2.14	3.64	3.68	Watch
	2.06	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.84)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	3.61 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sevilla
46.1%

Draw
27.3%

Cádiz
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.6%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.2%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Cádiz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	5%	20%

Sevilla - Cádiz Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 45 - 75%). Cádiz will win (votes: 12 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 64% – 86%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nyland O. (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 22. Bade L. 4. Ramos S. 2. Salas K. 5. Ocampos L. 24. Soumare B. 42. Agoume L. 19. Acuna M. 15. En Nesyri Y. 11. Lukebakio D.	1. Ledesma C. (C) 2. Zaldua J. 5. Chust V. 3. Fali 15. Hernandez J. 7. Sobrino R. 4. Alcaraz R. 17. Escalante G. 27. Navarro R. 16. Ramos C. 21. Marti R.
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 12. Diaz M. 1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 31. Flores A. (G) 8. Jordan J. 23. Marcao 46. Mejbri H. 14. Nianzou T. 3. Pedrosa A. 26. Sanchez J. 7. Suso 10. Veliz A.	11. Alejo I. 20. Carcelen I. 8. Fernandez A. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 9. Juanmi 33. Lucas Pires 18. Machis D. 14. Mbaye M. 10. Ocampo B. 6. Samassekou D.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Pellegrino M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lukebakio D. ↓, Suso ↑,
47', Ocampos L. 🟨,
50', Hernandez J. 🟨,
55', Acuna M. 🟨,
61', Sobrino R. ↓, Juanmi ↑,
62', Marti R. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
63', Soumare B. 🟨,
68', Navas J. 🟨,
71', Escalante G. 🟨,
77', Agoume L. 🟨,
80', Navarro R. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
80', Zaldua J. ↓, Alejo I. ↑,
84', Navas J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
84', Ocampos L. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
89', Acuna M. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
90+1', Hernandez J. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+5', Salas K. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Guardiola S. ⚽, Juanmi (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 3.

Sevilla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cádiz is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cádiz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Sevilla will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sevilla: Gudelj N. (Knee Injury) Lamela E. (Knee Injury) Romero I. (Thigh Injury) Sow D. (Foot Injury) Torres O. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Cádiz: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Jose Mari (Knee Injury) Kouame R. (Injury) Mere J. (Knee Injury) San Emeterio F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cádiz: Ousou A. (Ankle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
11.05.24	Villarreal - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
05.05.24	Sevilla - Granada	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Betis - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
22.04.24	Sevilla - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Las Palmas - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWTWW
- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
12.05.24	Cádiz - Getafe	1:0 ✺
04.05.24	Real Madrid - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Cádiz - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Girona - Cádiz	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cádiz - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Cádiz - Sevilla	2:2
01.04.23	Cádiz - Sevilla	0:2
21.01.23	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
29.04.22	Sevilla - Cádiz	1:1
03.01.22	Cádiz - Sevilla	0:1
23.01.21	Sevilla - Cádiz	3:0

Upcoming Matches