Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Diaz de Mera I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Cádiz		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.88	3	Watch
	2.7	2.75	3
	2.75	2.9	3	Watch
	2.83	2.82	3.14
	2.82	2.81	3.15
	2.7	2.88	3
	2.81	2.95	3.12	Watch
	2.78	2.83	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.54)	2.85 ↓ (2.9)	3.06 ↓ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
34.9%

Draw
33.7%

Mallorca
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.9%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

34.4%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	38.1%	14.3%

Cádiz - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Mallorca will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 38.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 26.2% – 69%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ledesma C. (C) 20. Carcelen I. 24. Ousou A. 5. Chust V. 33. Lucas Pires 27. Navarro R. 3. Fali 4. Alcaraz R. 16. Ramos C. 8. Fernandez A. 9. Juanmi	1. Rajkovic P. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 24. Valjent M. 21. Raillo A. (C) 2. Nastasic M. 15. Maffeo P. 23. Radonjic N. 5. Mascarell O. 12. Samu Costa 14. Rodriguez D. 7. Muriqi V.
Substitutes
11. Alejo I. 17. Escalante G. 13. Gil D. (G) 25. Gomez M. 19. Guardiola S. 15. Hernandez J. 18. Machis D. 21. Marti R. 14. Mbaye M. 6. Samassekou D. 7. Sobrino R. 2. Zaldua J.	11. Costa J. 10. Darder S. 13. Greif D. (G) 17. Larin C. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 8. Morlanes M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 18. Sanchez A. 4. Van Der Heyden S. 22. Vidal N.
Coaches
Pellegrino M.	Aguirre J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Valjent M. (A),
32', Lucas Pires 🟨,
41', Ramos C. 🟨,
45+2', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lucas Pires ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
46', Ousou A. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
53', Mascarell O. 🟨,
57', Radonjic N. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Ramos C. ⚽, Guardiola S. (A),
65', Juanmi ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
70', Rodriguez D. ↓, Morlanes M. ↑,
70', Samu Costa ↓, Darder S. ↑,
73', Fali 🟨,
79', Navarro R. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
80', Ramos C. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
84', Maffeo P. ↓, Lato T. ↑,
84', Muriqi V. ↓, Prats A. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Cádiz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cádiz won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga
20.04.24	Girona - Cádiz	4:1 ✺
13.04.24	Cádiz - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.24	Cádiz - Como	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.24	Real Sociedad - Cádiz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWTL
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
22.04.24	Sevilla - Mallorca	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Mallorca - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.04.24	Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.03.24	Valencia - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mallorca - Granada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
29.11.23	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:1
12.05.23	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:0
28.01.23	Cádiz - Mallorca	2:0
05.02.22	Mallorca - Cádiz	2:1
31.10.21	Cádiz - Mallorca	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.19	Cádiz - Mallorca	1:1
07.09.18	Mallorca - Cádiz	1:0

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