Match Info

LaLiga - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	05:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	21:00	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	23:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	01:00	Begin
Belarus	22:00	Belarus 5
Belgium	21:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
China	03:00	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	beIN Connect
Georgia	23:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	03:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	01:00	Setanta Sports
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Macao	03:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	00:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	13:00	Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga TV
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	22:00	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	20:00	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:00	K+, SCTV 15


	Sevilla		Elche

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.7
	1.9	3.35	4.45	Watch
	1.85	3.5	5.05
	1.30	4.53	13.20	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	1.89	3.52	4.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.18)	3.56 ↑ (3.47)	5.6 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
54.1%

Draw
28.1%

Elche
17.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

27.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

29%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sevilla's performance.

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.4%	20.8%	9.7%

Sevilla - Elche Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 48 - 69.6%). Elche will win (votes: 6 - 8.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 58.7% – 80.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Sevilla (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Sevilla (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sevilla will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 35 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 28 - 80%). Elche (votes: 3 - 8.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 11.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nyland O. (G) 16. Sanchez J. 5. Nianzou T. 23. Marcao 3. Azpilicueta C. 18. Agoume L. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 19. Mendy B. 17. Gonzalez A. 7. Romero I. 11. Vargas R.	1. Dituro M. (G) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 6. Bigas P. (C) 15. Nunez A. 35. Houary A. 14. Febas A. 16. Neto M. 3. Pedrosa A. 10. Mir R. 9. Andre Silva
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 2. Carmona J. A. 32. Castrin 24. Januzaj A. 36. Oso 14. Peque 4. Salas K. 10. Sanchez A. 20. Sow D. 12. Suazo G. 1. Vlachodimos O. (G)	32. Boayar A. 4. Diaby B. 19. Diangana G. 18. Donald J. 39. Fort H. 45. Iturbe A. (G) 17. Josan 30. Mendoza R. 13. Pena I. (G) 21. Petrot L. 5. Redondo Solari F. 20. Rodriguez A.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Sarabia E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Agoume L. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Romero I. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
44', Chust V. 🟨,
44', Romero I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', Nianzou T. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Andre Silva ⚽, Neto M. (A),
60', Houary A. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
61', Nianzou T. ↓, Castrin ↑,
61', Gudelj N. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
61', Gonzalez A. ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Mir R. ⚽,
79', Sanchez J. ↓, Januzaj A. ↑,
79', Vargas R. ↓, Peque ↑,
80', Chust V. ↓, Fort H. ↑,
80', Mir R. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
83', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Peque ⚽, Sanchez A. (A),
88', Pedrosa A. ↓, Petrot L. ↑,
88', Neto M. ↓, Donald J. ↑,
90+3', Almeyda M. 🟨,
90+4', Donald J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sevilla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sevilla is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Muscle Injury) Ejuke C. (Hamstring Injury) Joan Jordan (Back Injury)

There will not play in Elche: Aguado M. (Injury) Santiago Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Nianzou T. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 1.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:1. (average 2.6:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
30.08.25	Girona - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Sevilla - Getafe	1:2 ✺
17.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.25	Toulouse - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
04.08.25	Sevilla - Al-Qadisiya	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLTT
- Elche CF
Club Friendly
04.09.25	Real Murcia - Elche	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.08.25	Elche - Levante	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Atlético Madrid - Elche	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Elche - Betis	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Elche - Hércules	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.05.23	Elche - Sevilla	1:1
28.01.23	Sevilla - Elche	3:0
11.02.22	Sevilla - Elche	2:0
28.08.21	Elche - Sevilla	1:1
17.03.21	Sevilla - Elche	2:0
06.03.21	Elche - Sevilla	2:1
15.03.15	Sevilla - Elche	3:0

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