The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 57.9%
Draw 24.4%
Red Bull Salzburg 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
23.2%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
14.9%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-22.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+14.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Bull Salzburg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.4%
7.8%
6.8%
Sevilla - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions
Users Predictions:
Sevilla will win
(164 of 192 users predict this - 85.42%). Confidence interval (95%): 80.43% โ 90.41%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Sevilla has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (38%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (21%), has a good chance of round of 16 (66%), has a chance of qtrs (29%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Salzburg has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (26%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (26%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (22%), has a small chance of semis (8%), has a very small chance of final (3%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Sevilla is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Salzburg in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Sevilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.