Match Info

LaLiga - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero (Elche)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Prime, ART Sport 1, ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	ESPN 2 Caribbean, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Poland, CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Blue Zoom
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Elche		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.48	3.15	3.05
	2.41	3.2	3.14	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.51	3.23	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.18)	3.16 ↓ (3.59)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
39.4%

Draw
30.2%

Sevilla
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

26.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

26.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.8%	26.9%	17.3%

Elche - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Elche will win (votes: 28 - 56%). Sevilla will win (votes: 9 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 26%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elche: 42.2% – 69.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sevilla (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elche will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Elche (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Pena I. (G) 17. Josan (C) 23. Chust V. 22. Affengruber D. 21. Petrot L. 11. Valera G. 16. Neto M. 8. Aguado M. 14. Febas A. 19. Diangana G. 20. Rodriguez A.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 16. Sanchez J. 2. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 4. Salas K. 36. Oso 20. Sow D. 18. Agoume L. 19. Mendy B. 7. Romero I. 14. Peque
Substitutes
9. Andre Silva 32. Boayar A. 31. Delgado D. 4. Diaby B. 1. Dituro M. (G) 45. Iturbe A. (G) 30. Mendoza R. 3. Pedrosa A. 5. Redondo Solari F. 38. Sanchez A. 7. Santiago Y. 26. Sina B.	9. Adams A. 28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 32. Castrin 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 8. Joan Jordan 5. Nianzou T. 13. Nyland O. (G) 29. Sierra M. 12. Suazo G.
Coaches
Sarabia E.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Febas A. ⚽, Neto M. (A),
21', Chust V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Peque ↓, Adams A. ↑,
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Nianzou T. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Valera G. ⚽, Aguado M. (A),
59', Mendy B. 🟨,
65', Sow D. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
65', Romero I. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
68', Nianzou T. ↓, Suazo G. ↑,
68', Neto M. ↓, Mendoza R. ↑,
68', Diangana G. ↓, Santiago Y. ↑,
68', Josan ↓, Diaby B. ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Adams A. ⚽,
80', Valera G. ↓, Pedrosa A. ↑,
80', Santiago Y. 🟨,
87', Febas A. ↓, Redondo Solari F. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Adams A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Diaby B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 0.

In recent matches, Elche has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sevilla is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elche may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Elche will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elche: Bigas P. (Injury) Donald J. (Injury) Fort H. (Shoulder Injury) Mir R. (Muscle Injury) Nunez A. (Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Calf Injury) Gonzalez A. (Muscle Injury) Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Red Card) Sanchez A. (Hip Injury) Vargas R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Elche: Andre Silva (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.7:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Sevilla: 0.42% Elche: 0.19%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10:9	1	13
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11:17	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
14.01.26	Betis - Elche	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.01.26	Valencia - Elche	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Elche - Villarreal	1:3 ✺
21.12.25	Elche - Rayo Vallecano	4:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Eibar - Elche	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.26	Sevilla - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla - Levante	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
12.09.25	Sevilla - Elche	2:2
24.05.23	Elche - Sevilla	1:1
28.01.23	Sevilla - Elche	3:0
11.02.22	Sevilla - Elche	2:0
28.08.21	Elche - Sevilla	1:1
17.03.21	Sevilla - Elche	2:0
06.03.21	Elche - Sevilla	2:1

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