Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sevilla B		Alcoyano

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.88	3.25
	2.2	2.85	3.2
	2.27	2.95	3.3
	2.29	2.96	3.35
	2.24	2.97	3.28	Watch
	2.26	2.99	3.28
	2.27	2.95	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.09)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	3.28 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
40.8%

Draw
31.2%

Alcoyano
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.3%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Sevilla B - Alcoyano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (C) 17. Benavides D. 15. Munoz I. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 22. Dasilva L. 5. Hormigo D. 6. Rivera P. 20. Sierra M. 30. Sow I. 7. Fernandez A.	13. Valens J. (G) 17. Lopez S. 18. Atienza P. 15. Blanco C. 3. Rodriguez A. 23. Pastrana V. 20. Undabarrena E. 5. Albisua H. 10. Lara J. A. 14. Anton J. 19. Losada M.
Substitutes
44. Antonetti L. 33. Arbol M. (G) 21. Cortez J. 23. Dominguez I. 35. Lopez D. 3. Mascaro L. 12. Pascual A. 26. Romero R. (G) 29. Sow B. 38. Veces S.	9. de Palmas R. 4. Farru 2. Ferriz P. 1. Garcia M. (G) 7. Herrera C. 24. Qasmi Y. 22. Velazquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Albisua H. 🟨,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, Hormigo D. ⚽, Sierra M. (A),
53', 🟨,
71', Sow I. ↓, Pascual A. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Pascual A. ⚽, Dasilva L. (A),
82', 🟨,
87', Pastrana V. 🟥,
88', 🟨,
89', Flores A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 15).

Sevilla B is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcoyano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sevilla B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Sevilla B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TLWWW
- CD Alcoyano
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.03.25	Alcoyano - Hércules	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Alcorcón - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Alcoyano - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
16.02.25	Villarreal B - Alcoyano	3:0 ✺
09.02.25	Alcoyano - Betis B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.11.24	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	1:1
13.02.22	Alcoyano - Sevilla B	2:1
19.09.21	Sevilla B - Alcoyano	1:3

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