Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, Real Madrid TV


	Real Madrid Castilla		Sevilla B

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.75
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.72	3.55	4.7
	1.74	3.55	4.76
	1.7	3.52	4.61	Watch
	1.72	3.48	4.71
	1.72	3.55	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.69)	3.49 ↑ (3.46)	4.65 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
53.9%

Draw
26.3%

Sevilla B
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.5%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

25.6%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sevilla B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. de Luis M. (G) 6. Andres C. 7. Garcia G. 22. Jimenez D. 2. Lorenzo 8. Moran M. A. 9. Munoz V. 4. Pujol E. . Ramon J. 24. Rivas M. 23. Yusi	13. Flores A. (C) 17. Benavides D. 22. Dasilva L. 7. Fernandez A. 5. Hormigo D. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 15. Munoz I. 12. Pascual A. 6. Rivera P. 30. Sow I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ramon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Sow I. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
64', Lorenzo ↓, Alonso B. ↑,
82', Dasilva L. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Real Madrid Castilla to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.25	Intercity - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Antequera - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:0 ✺
31.01.25	Algeciras - Real Madrid Castilla	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWTWW
- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
02.03.25	Yeclano Deportivo - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sevilla B - Hércules	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Real Murcia - Sevilla B	0:2 ✺
08.02.25	Sevilla B - Intercity	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Atlético Sanluqueño - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.10.24	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0
02.04.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Sevilla B	2:1
11.12.21	Sevilla B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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