Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Jesus Navas (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Sevilla B		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.43	2.75	2.65
	2.85	3.24	2.34	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.62
	2.56	2.97	2.76
	2.43	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.39)	2.97 ↓ (3.31)	2.63 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla B
35.5%

Draw
30.3%

Mérida AD
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.7%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.5%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Sevilla B - Mérida AD Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Flores A. (G) 17. Benavides D. 4. Martinez R. 24. Castrin 5. Hormigo D. 9. Mejia M. 16. Bueno M. 6. Rivera P. 11. Oso 18. Antonetti L. 37. Di Massimo Garcia M.	13. Vicente D. (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 4. Bonaque M. 3. Sergi 14. Beltran L. 23. Busi 21. Beneit R. 17. Ganet P. 11. Doncel C. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
1. Arbol M. (G) 28. Ciria A. 22. Dasilva L. 7. Fernandez A. 27. Guillen N. 14. Jalade R. 19. Martinez S. 3. Mascaro L. 15. Munoz I. 20. Sierra M. 30. Sow I.	7. Alvaro J. 12. Beer J. 28. del Cerro S. 16. Garcia P. 1. Juanpa (G) 26. Macia I. (G) 6. Miki 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Vicente D. 🟨,
43', Rivera P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rivera P. ↓, Jalade R. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Antonetti L. ⚽,
67', Bonaque M. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
67', Busi ↓, Miki ↑,
67', Doncel C. ↓, Pareja Alvarez L. ↑,
68', Pareja Alvarez L. 🟨,
76', Falcon E. ↓, del Cerro S. ↑,
77', Di Massimo Garcia M. ↓, Ciria A. ↑,
83', Beneit R. ↓, Beer J. ↑,
84', Antonetti L. ↓, Sow I. ↑,
90+2', Oso ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+2', Mejia M. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
90+5', Benavides D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Sevilla B is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mérida AD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Sevilla B have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.12.24	Betis B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
14.12.24	Atlético Madrid B - Sevilla B	0:1 ✺
07.12.24	Sevilla B - Fuenlabrada	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Hércules - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Intercity - Sevilla B	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWTLL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
21.12.24	Mérida AD - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Mérida AD - Hércules	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	6:0 ✺
23.11.24	Mérida AD - Intercity	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
02.08.24	Mérida AD - Sevilla B	2:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
03.11.19	Mérida AD - Sevilla B	0:0
07.05.16	Sevilla B - Mérida AD	1:2
19.12.15	Mérida AD - Sevilla B	0:0

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