Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Campo de la Constitucion (Yecla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Yeclano Deportivo		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.14	3.15	3.4
	2.19	3.12	4.18
	2.11	3.03	3.52	Watch
	1.85	3.1	4.2
	2.11	3.04	3.58
	2.14	3.15	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.88)	3.07 ↓ (3.25)	3.61 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yeclano Deportivo
44.4%

Draw
30%

Mérida AD
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

28.1%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

27.6%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yeclano Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeclano Deportivo than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 2. Sanchez A. 4. Gabri 6. Mayorga A. 3. Morros 22. Sutherland T. 10. Perez P. 5. Relu 8. Juanje 19. Errahaly M. 17. Solsona J.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Pipe 18. Falcon E. 4. Bonaque M. 22. Climent M. 28. del Cerro S. 10. Juanjo 11. Doncel C. 21. Beneit R. 14. Beltran L. 8. Eslava J.
Substitutes
11. de Pedro D. 29. Felipe Goun 13. Marti B. (G) 28. Meca A. 18. Olmedo V. 31. Paco 14. Rodriguez A. 30. Rubio I. 27. Senestrari T.	23. Busi 17. Ganet P. 16. Garcia P. 5. Pareja Alvarez L. 15. Prevedini M. 3. Sergi 13. Vicente D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Sutherland T. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Beneit R. ⚽,
45+1', Climent M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Beneit R. 🟨,
57', Beneit R. ↓, Sergi ↑,
57', Climent M. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
70', Bonaque M. 🟨,
70', Doncel C. ↓, Busi ↑,
70', Bonaque M. ↓, Pareja Alvarez L. ↑,
77', Relu ↓, de Pedro D. ↑,
83', Mayorga A. 🟨,
85', Juanjo ↓, Prevedini M. ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Yeclano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Yeclano won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Yeclano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yeclano Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Algeciras - Yeclano Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Elche	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Alcoyano	1:2 ✺
24.11.24	Marbella - Yeclano Deportivo	0:3 ✺
16.11.24	Yeclano Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLLWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.12.24	Mérida AD - Hércules	2:1 ✺
30.11.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Mérida AD	6:0 ✺
23.11.24	Mérida AD - Intercity	2:1 ✺
17.11.24	Atlético Madrid B - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Mérida AD - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.03.20	Yeclano Deportivo - Mérida AD	2:2
20.10.19	Mérida AD - Yeclano Deportivo	2:2

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