Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Enrique Roca (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Real Murcia		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.75	3	4.75
	1.78	3	4.4
	1.75	3.15	5.15
	1.73	3.44	5.32
	1.72	3.28	5.45	Watch
	1.73	3	4.6
	1.68	3.24	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.94)	3.16 ↑ (2.96)	4.97 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Murcia
52.7%

Draw
28.9%

Tarazona
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

31%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

29.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Murcia's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Real Murcia - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gazzaniga G. (C) 18. Vicente D. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Gil O. 2. Mier J. 34. Sanchez J. G. 27. Alonso 17. Narro V. 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 19. Jorquera Romero J. 23. Bosilj D.	1. Josele (G) 16. Delmas J. 4. Trilles M. 3. Martinez Chechu 14. Borge A. 23. Rodriguez D. 6. Carrasco O. 22. Vaquero 21. Nieto C. 17. Jimenez A. 10. Aguero
Substitutes
16. Antonio David 9. Benito P. A. P. 21. Djanbou S. 10. Gomez I. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 40. Meca A. 7. Moyita S. 8. Ortuno J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 3. Romero C. 20. Zenitagoia E.	13. Amigo A. (G) 19. Armero S. 9. Cubillas D. 2. Lopez A. 20. Martinez J. 7. Soto D. 5. Traore B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Gil O. ⚽,
36', Trilles M. 🟨,
45', Sanchez J. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Aguero 🟨,
57', Aguero ↓, Cubillas D. ↑,
61', Mier J. 🟥,
68', Alonso ↓, Romero C. ↑,
74', Vaquero ↓, Traore B. ↑,
74', Trilles M. ↓, Armero S. ↑,
74', Bosilj D. ↓, Djanbou S. ↑,
74', Narro V. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
74', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
83', Nieto C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
90+3', Joao Pedro Palmberg ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
90+6', Gazzaniga G. 🟨,
90+10', Carrasco O. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14)

Recent form of Murcia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tarazona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Murcia is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Murcia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Murcia	6	4	0	2	10:7	3	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.26	Hércules - Real Murcia	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Real Murcia - Marbella	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Real Murcia - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Villarreal B - Real Murcia	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Real Murcia - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LTLTL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.03.26	Tarazona - Atlético Madrid B	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Tarazona - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Ibiza - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Tarazona - Sevilla B	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	CE Europa - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Tarazona - Real Murcia	1:0

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