The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villarreal B 39.6%
Draw 31.3%
Real Murcia 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.2%
31.9%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.2%
31.1%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Villarreal B - Real Murcia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Villarreal B (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villarreal B (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez R. (G) 2. Budesca D. 4. Sierra I. 6. Spatz L. M. 3. Ortiz E. 24. Arguigue Safsati A. 28. Macia C. 8. Diatta A. 36. El Jmili N. 26. Gaitan J. 30. Garcia A.
1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 2. Mier J. 4. Garcia H. J. 6. Gonzalez A. 3. Romero C. 9. Benito P. A. P. 20. Zenitagoia E. 15. Gil O. 12. Joao Pedro Palmberg 17. Narro V. 23. Bosilj D.
Substitutes
19. Barry M. 33. Bonafe C. 10. Eto'o E. 11. Lopez H. 35. Moreira Y. (G) 16. Pascual P. 21. Rodriguez I. 15. Tidiane Thiam C. 23. Valou J. 22. Viveros F.
16. Antonio David 11. Bustos A. 21. Djanbou S. 10. Gomez I. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 22. Juan Carlos 14. Leon P. 8. Ortuno J. 13. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 34. Sanchez J. G. 18. Vicente D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Arguigue Safsati A. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Gil O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Mier J. 🟨,
55', Sierra I. 🟨,
57', 🟨,
57', Narro V. 🟨,
58', Joao Pedro Palmberg 🟥,
63', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Djanbou S. ↑,
70', Sierra I. ↓, Valou J. ↑,
70', Arguigue Safsati A. ↓, Eto'o E. ↑,
77', Benito P. A. P. ↓, Vicente D. ↑,
77', Narro V. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
78', Garcia A. ↓, Viveros F. ↑,
78', Gaitan J. ↓, Lopez H. ↑,
86', Ortiz E. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
87', Bosilj D. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
87', Mier J. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
90+4', Bustos A. 🟨,
90+4', Viveros F. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 0.
Villarreal B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Murcia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Villarreal B might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Villarreal B will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Villarreal B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Villarreal B
6
4
1
1
12:6
6
13
4
Murcia
6
4
0
2
10:7
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
Villarreal B - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.
Real Murcia - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.95%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Gomez R. (G) 
Spatz L. M. 
Arguigue Safsati A. 
Diatta A. 
Joao Pedro Palmberg 
Bosilj D. 
Barry M. 
Eto'o E. 
Rodriguez I. 
Valou J. 
