Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 14

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport


	Sfaxien		Marsa

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.15	5.7
	1.6	3.36	6.69
	1.71	3.06	5.49	Watch
	1.65	3.14	5.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	5.89 ↑ (5.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sfaxien
55.6%

Draw
28.8%

Marsa
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

29.9%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

29.3%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sfaxien - Marsa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sfaxien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Sfaxien (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sfaxien (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (G) 21. Baccar H. 11. Belwafi I. 13. Derbali R. 4. Habchia Y. 10. Maaloul A. (C) 15. Mondeko Zatu K. 12. Mutyaba T. 18. Ogbole E. 32. Ouedraogo H. 33. Trabelsi M.	16. Abessi B. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 2. Chaouch M. 9. Hadhri A. 3. Hichri H. 30. Kalu G. 6. Karoui O. 27. Khaloui M. 29. Neji F. 11. Traidi O.
Substitutes
22. Absi M. 23. Aidi M. 26. Ben Khader C. 28. Chaaben R. 31. Jamiaa M. A. (G) 19. Karoui N. 24. Mathlouthi H. 7. Onana W. 25. Sekkouhi F.	1. Aziz Telli M. 25. El Islem T. 15. Gneba R. 8. Guesmi A. 7. Hammami K. 17. Jebali O. 24. Kassi M. 18. Mansour H. 19. Zouari Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Ogbole E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Belwafi I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Adejoh O. ↓, Gneba R. ↑,
63', Traidi O. ↓, Kassi M. ↑,
75', Neji F. ↓, Zouari Y. ↑,
75', Kalu G. ↓, Mansour H. ↑,
76', Ogbole E. ↓, Chaaben R. ↑,
82', Trabelsi M. ↓, Sekkouhi F. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Ouedraogo H. ⚽,
90', Belwafi I. ↓, Absi M. ↑,
90', Maaloul A. ↓, Mathlouthi H. ↑,
90', Mutyaba T. ↓, Karoui N. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 4.

Sfaxien is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sfaxien is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Sfaxien won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Sfaxien won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.8:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.25	Olympique Béja - Sfaxien	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Stade Tunisien - Sfaxien	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Sfaxien - Soliman	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	JS Kairouan - Sfaxien	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLTWW
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.25	Marsa - Bizertin	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Zarzis - Marsa	AS Marsa awarded ✺
29.10.25	Marsa - Étoile du Sahel	0:2 ✺
19.10.25	Marsa - Métlaoui	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Olympique Béja - Marsa	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 W?LLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Cup
19.04.24	Sfaxien - Marsa	0:1 ET
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
05.11.23	Sfaxien - Marsa	3:0
27.08.23	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1
Tunisian Cup
10.09.22	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:2
29.01.19	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
13.03.16	Marsa - Sfaxien	0:1
14.10.15	Sfaxien - Marsa	3:0

Sfaxien - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide