Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Shaanxi Province Stadium (Xi'an)


	Shaanxi Union		Shandong Taishan B

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
				Watch
	1.54	3.81	5.14
	1.54	3.89	5.51
	1.6	3.6	4.75
	1.49	3.88	5.95
	1.54	3.9	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.82)	3.83 ↑ (3.38)	5.3 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
59.2%

Draw
23.7%

Shandong Taishan B
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.8%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

26.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shaanxi Union's performance.

Shandong Taishan B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shaanxi Union that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shaanxi Union - Shandong Taishan B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Li Chen (G) 44. Yang Ruiqi 49. Eysajan Elkut 6. Ding Jie 4. Wang Weipu 38. Hu Mingtian 18. Ruan Jun 8. Xie Zhiwei 10. Gao Tianyu 9. Li Rui 29. Mi Haolun	51. Liu Qiwei (G) 66. He Bingzhuang 68. Shi Songchen 69. Tash Mustapa 60. Amut Y. 64. Peng Xiao 65. Yin Jiaxi 42. Wang Jiancong 45. Chen Zeshi 59. Mei S. 63. Yan Hengye
Substitutes
60. Li Tianle (G) 34. Pang Zhiquan 36. Pei Shuai 47. Tursunali Nureli 11. Wen Shuo 15. Wen Wubin 17. Wu Chengru 32. Xu Wu 5. Yao Diran 19. Zhang Yuxuan 21. Zhao Shuhao 45. Zhong Weihong	50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 47. He K. 56. Jing Xinbo 70. Luan Yi (G) 52. Lu J. 48. Meng Fanning 58. Peng Y. 61. Qi Qiancheng 49. Tashmemet Ezher 53. Wang Tianyou 55. Zhang Yingkai
Coaches
Cespedes O.	Han Peng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Hu Mingtian ⚽,
28', Yang Ruiqi 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Mei S. ⚽, Shi Songchen (A),
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Wang Jiancong ↓, Tashmemet Ezher ↑,
46', Wang Weipu ↓, Yao Diran ↑,
49', Tash Mustapa 🟨,
62', Li Rui ↓, Pei Shuai ↑,
67', Mei S. 🟨,
76', Ruan Jun ↓, Pang Zhiquan ↑,
76', Mei S. ↓, Zhang Yingkai ↑,
76', Ding Jie ↓, Zhong Weihong ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Mi Haolun (Pen),
81', Yan Hengye ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
82', 🟨,
83', Mi Haolun ↓, Wen Wubin ↑,
86', Amut Y. ↓, Lu J. ↑,
86', Yin Jiaxi ↓, Qi Qiancheng ↑,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Yi League (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Yi League (Relegation Group: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Shaanxi Union could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Shaanxi Union is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shaanxi Union won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Yi League
25.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shaanxi Union	3:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
16.06.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
09.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	2:0 ✺
02.06.24	Shaanxi Union - Hubei Istar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWW
- Shandong Taishan B
Chinese Yi League
23.06.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Shandong Taishan B	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Shandong Taishan B - Lanzhou Longyuan	3:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
01.06.24	Shandong Taishan B - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
24.05.24	Hubei Istar - Shandong Taishan B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
16.04.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shaanxi Union	0:2

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