Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 11

Date: 9 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kun City		Shandong Taishan B

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.7	6.5
				Watch
	1.46	3.63	5.45
	1.47	3.63	5.44
	1.67	3.4	4.5
	1.49	3.6	6.75
	1.46	3.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.93)	3.61 ↑ (3)	5.91 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
59.9%

Draw
24.9%

Shandong Taishan B
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

31.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Kun City's performance.

Shandong Taishan B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shandong Taishan B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Kun City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shandong Taishan B than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shandong Taishan B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Zhuo (G) 2. Geng Xiaoshun 4. Liu J. 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 17. Yang Fan 23. Yin Lu 40. Liu Zhizhi 30. Yu Zeyuan 47. Ablimit F. 10. Zhu Shiyu 55. Ali M.	50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 42. Wang Jiancong 55. Zhang Yingkai 61. Qi Qiancheng 66. He Bingzhuang 59. Mei S. 65. Yin Jiaxi 52. Lu J. 49. Tashmemet Ezher 46. Tang Rui 62. Fu Yuxuan
Substitutes
26. Cai Haochen (G) 25. Cong Zhen 6. Ge Hailun 11. Ge Yuxiang 14. Li Xudong 24. Ouyang Bang 1. Ran Weifeng (G) 45. Ren Jian 57. Sodorhu 19. Xu Xin 49. Yan Shoukuan 9. Zhou Bingxu	47. He K. 56. Jing Xinbo 67. Liu Qingchang (G) 48. Meng Fanning 41. Niu Bowei (G) 58. Peng Y. 43. Sun Ziyue 53. Wang Tianyou 63. Yan Hengye
Coaches
Zhao Faqing	Han Peng

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Cai Haochen 🟨,
36', Zhu Shiyu 🟨,
39', Fu Yuxuan 🟨,
43', Liu J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Liu J. ↓, Ge Hailun ↑,
46', Yu Zeyuan ↓, Yan Shoukuan ↑,
46', Tang Rui ↓, Yan Hengye ↑,
48', Yan Shoukuan 🟨,
55', Mei S. 🟨,
60', Ali M. ↓, Zhou Bingxu ↑,
61', Ablimit F. ↓, Cong Zhen ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Yan Hengye ⚽, Wang Jiancong (A),
71', Yin Lu 🟨,
72', Wang Jiancong ↓, He K. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Mei S. ⚽,
79', Lu J. ↓, Peng Y. ↑,
84', He Bingzhuang 🟨,
85', Tashmemet Ezher ↓, Sun Ziyue ↑,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
01.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
17.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Yunnan Yukun	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
11.05.24	Dalian Kun City - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
05.05.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLTT
- Shandong Taishan B
Chinese Yi League
01.06.24	Shandong Taishan B - Taian Tiankuang	0:0 ✺
24.05.24	Hubei Istar - Shandong Taishan B	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Shandong Taishan B - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Shandong Taishan B - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	3:0 ✺
27.04.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Shandong Taishan B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLWW

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