Match Info

League One - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Weinan Sports Center Stadium (Weinan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shaanxi Union		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.20	3.30
	1.92	3.25	3.65
	2.00	3.44	3.80
	1.83	3.56	4.12	Watch
	1.98	3.40	3.60
	1.98	3.43	3.64	Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.81)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	3.65 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shaanxi Union
47.3%

Draw
27.4%

Yanbian Longding
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.1%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

28.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Yanbian Longding has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shaanxi Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. He Lipan (G) 23. Jin W. 5. Ma Sheng 24. Liang Shaowen 29. Mi Haolun (C) 19. Irandust D. 42. Wei Zhiwei 25. Cao Kang 10. El Azrak R. 17. Feng Boyuan 9. Selmani A.	21. Kou Jiahao (G) 2. Che Zeping 15. Xu Jizu 33. Hu Ziqian 7. Li Shibin 17. Piao Shihao (C) 5. Domingos J. 20. Jin Taiyan 30. Huang Zhenfei 45. Qu Yanheng 37. Giovanny
Substitutes
27. Jiang Wenhao 30. Leng Jixuan 31. Luan Yi (G) 20. Ma H. W. 33. Tan Kaiyuan 6. Tursunali Nureli 38. Wang Jia'nan 21. Wang Shijie 40. Yang S. 36. Yan Yu 16. Zhao Shi (G) 7. Zhong Wen	11. Chen Keqiang 14. Cui Taixu 43. Cui Xuanyou 19. Duan Dezhi 8. He Zhenyu 32. Huang Z. 36. Li R. 6. Li Ximin 28. Pan Xuanyu 13. Wang Haocheng (G) 16. Xu Wenguang 9. Zong Xuanyu
Coaches
Chen Tao	Lee Ki-Hyung

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Cao Kang ⚽, Mi Haolun (A),
39', 1 - 1, Giovanny ⚽, Domingos J. (A),
42', Li Shibin ↓, Cui Taixu ↑,
45+3', 2 - 1, Wei Zhiwei ⚽,
45+4', Feng Boyuan 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Cao Kang 🟨,
55', Qu Yanheng ↓, Chen Keqiang ↑,
65', Mi Haolun ↓, Wang Jia'nan ↑,
73', Jin W. 🟨,
75', Cao Kang ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
86', 3 - 1, El Azrak R. ⚽, Feng Boyuan (A),
90', Jin Taiyan ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
90', Che Zeping ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
90', Piao Shihao ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
90+2', Selmani A. ↓, Yang S. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 and 3).

Recent performances by Shaanxi Union have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Yanbian Longding is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Yanbian Longding may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Yanbian Longding has had a series of home games.

In this match, Shaanxi Union is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shaanxi Union won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Shaanxi Union won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	6	36

Last Results with these Odds

Shaanxi Union - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 50.18%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
22.08.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Union	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Shaanxi Union - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Union	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLTW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
22.08.26	Ningbo Professional - Yanbian Longding	2:3 ✺
15.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
09.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Shenzhen Juniors	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Yanbian Longding - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
26.07.26	Yanbian Longding - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
25.04.26	Yanbian Longding - Shaanxi Union	0:0
20.09.25	Shaanxi Union - Yanbian Longding	0:1
11.05.25	Yanbian Longding - Shaanxi Union	2:0

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