Match Info

League One - Round 17

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dalian Kun City		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.60	3.10	2.40
	2.45	3.20	2.65	Watch
	2.94	3.30	2.47
	2.54	3.22	2.74	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.40
	2.74	3.35	2.46	Watch
	2.60	3.15	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.45)	3.22 ↑ (3.2)	2.52 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
34.7%

Draw
28.6%

Shaanxi Union
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.5%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shaanxi Union has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Dalian Kun City (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dalian Kun City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Ma Kunyue (G) 18. Xu Dongdong 13. Wang Yaopeng (C) 2. Wang Wenxuan 4. Shiming Liu 11. Bayala C. 8. Wu Y. 26. Cui Ming'an 22. Liu Yun 30. Mushekwi N. 10. Hansen K.	39. He Lipan (G) 23. Jin W. 25. Cao Kang 24. Liang Shaowen (C) 27. Jiang Wenhao 42. Wei Zhiwei 19. Irandust D. 21. Wang Shijie 20. Ma H. W. 10. El Azrak R. 9. Selmani A.
Substitutes
7. Feng Zeyuan 6. Ji Zhengyu 39. Lei Wenjie 5. Lin Longchang 14. Long Tingwei 3. Lu Kun 42. Ma Yujun 17. Sui Weijie (G) 25. Yan Y. 21. You Sihan 27. Zhang Hongjiang 29. Zheng Weijie	17. Feng Boyuan 34. Ghojaehmet Shahzat 30. Leng Jixuan 31. Luan Yi (G) 29. Mi Haolun 32. Qian Ruofan 33. Tan Kaiyuan 38. Wang Jia'nan 2. Wen Junjie 40. Yang S. 36. Yan Yu 16. Zhao Shi (G)
Coaches
Zhang Yaokun	Chen Tao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Mushekwi N. ⚽,
22', Shiming Liu 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Ma H. W. ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Cui Ming'an ⚽, Mushekwi N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ma H. W. ↓, Feng Boyuan ↑,
51', Bayala C. 🟨,
57', Cui Ming'an ↓, Long Tingwei ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Feng Boyuan ⚽, Irandust D. (A),
60', Long Tingwei 🟨,
63', Jin W. 🟨,
64', Mushekwi N. ↓, Lei Wenjie ↑,
64', Liu Yun ↓, Lin Longchang ↑,
70', Jiang Wenhao ↓, Mi Haolun ↑,
78', Wei Zhiwei ↓, Wen Junjie ↑,
80', Shiming Liu ↓, Yan Y. ↑,
80', Hansen K. ↓, Lu Kun ↑,
89', Lin Longchang 🟨,
90+1', El Azrak R. ↓, Yan Yu ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Shaanxi Union may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dalian Kun City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dalian Kun City won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Shaanxi Union	25	11	6	8	42:27	15	39
11	Dalian K'un City	25	7	8	10	30:37	-7	29

Last Results with these Odds

Shaanxi Union - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Jia League
26.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Kun City	2:0 ✺
11.07.26	Dalian Kun City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
05.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Dalian Kun City	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Dalian Kun City - Shenzhen Juniors	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
25.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.07.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Shaanxi Union	2:0 ✺
Chinese Jia League
18.07.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Shaanxi Union	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Meizhou Hakka	4:0 ✺
04.07.26	Shaanxi Union - Wuxi Wugou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
01.11.25	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	3:0
28.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1
Chinese Yi League
28.07.24	Dalian Kun City - Shaanxi Union	1:1
25.05.24	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1

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